TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

OGC Nice vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$140,480
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$165,017

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,480 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under39c29,419$11,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,576.461,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over68c20,212$13,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,467.765642.9%24 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under32c11,253$3,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,551.7721144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Over48c10,000$4,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,217.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under34c7,445$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,550.287344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f3c…2f57backed Over58c4,550$2,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9111145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under42c4,082$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.5437638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Over58c3,478$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,477.71580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+49.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over69c3,315$2,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.629558.9%56 W · 39 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Over65c2,914$1,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.351560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under40c2,809$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.6724052.9%127 W · 113 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Over72c2,626$1,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.771154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over69c2,238$1,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.768058.8%47 W · 33 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under45c2,153$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.9362648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over54c1,842$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.281566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+36.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x66b6…159dbacked Over67c1,837$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.182100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under39c1,747$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.271,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over66c1,713$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.489747.4%46 W · 51 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over69c1,690$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.39960.6%60 W · 39 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked Under50c1,600$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce72…cbefbacked Over64c1,562$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.18425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-60.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over63c1,555$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.45560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a39…a189backed Under35c1,504$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.28850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Over56c1,445$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.6650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under35c1,354$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.8512448.4%60 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c14…68f3backed Under4c1,289$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.11922.2%2 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick7cpaid+345.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Over63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over57c878.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.034544.4%20 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8de5…e8bbbacked Under46c862.98$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick65cpaid-50.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under32c738.57$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.5729949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Under32c710.54$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.376648.5%32 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under2c700$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11287.1%2 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick2cpaid+346.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd411…7a18backed Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick25cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Over59c574.14$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.091662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+35.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x61bb…5854backed Over54c560$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.6757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over67c492.54$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.545461.1%33 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over63c468.25$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.259447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df9…e49ebacked Over57c468$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.24450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked Over56c446.43$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.43450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Under34c415.27$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.581323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-46.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over62c403.23$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.238254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under32c375$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12027049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over53c344.99$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.224051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over67c340.21$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.272850%14 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe612…ee20backed Over63c333.76$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.491070%7 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+39.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under39c317.33$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.6917251.2%88 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d4f…ccbbbacked Over64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.5771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+35.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under26c307.36$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.034425%11 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over70c305.4$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.621855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x71cc…9144backed Over59c303.3$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.3666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Over75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1509145.1%41 W · 50 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Over65c297.06$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.97666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+33.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Under41c282.83$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.963060%18 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab20…e6a0backed Over76c273.63$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over67c250$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.53745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under35c250$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.59954.5%54 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under33c213$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.292142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed Under10c211.35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.132638.5%10 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709354.8%51 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642552%13 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over55c200$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.053070%21 W · 9 L+5.7wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+36.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc94c…ba65backed Under11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2230%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844744.7%21 W · 26 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2bdc…a29fbacked Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Under52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002245.5%10 W · 12 L-4.4wins-0.20per pick66cpaid-34.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked Over60c191.65$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.951764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.823060%18 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a25…3c70backed Over60c176.55$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.91875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Under49c161.89$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802725.9%7 W · 20 L-4.7wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-46.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x32f2…7830backed Over70c160$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.83759.5%22 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under42c154.98$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5759348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under35c151$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.545356.6%30 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Under33c146$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.181428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under32c143.78$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.019256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under38c140$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-61.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c6c…0319backed Over38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.58666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.34per pick32cpaid+117.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7447…c413backed Over76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.58633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-56.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under31c130.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.433148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Under20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253070%21 W · 9 L+4.9wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+28.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc0bf…5d96backed Over63c120$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under34c117.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9411753.8%63 W · 54 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Over68c117$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.442152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over68c112.43$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.431764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under33c108.72$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8820150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.382171.4%15 W · 6 L+4.7wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+63.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under34c104.35$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3614057.1%80 W · 60 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf715…bbf0backed Over63c102.98$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.11526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376253.2%33 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5022340.8%91 W · 132 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-42.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd754…7857backed Under32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+42.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed Over69c97.71$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.29650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d12…cc43backed Over41c97.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.561855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+24.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over65c96.2$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.366553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ca…e36cbacked Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.592100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+139.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a4a…044ebacked Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Over69c90.01$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.93554.3%19 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x514e…a604backed Under39c90$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.211250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.