Ligue 1 · resolved market
OGC Nice vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x772e4f771db3a4144ba663bab7f692ce8ca3598ca8d577652ca5d51cb53b8e27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,548 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe0c…04b6backed No | 45c | 5,752$2,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,135.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 55c | 3,538$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked No | 68c | 1,526$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.31 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 28c | 1,260$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.01 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 1,123$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.54 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 49c | 1,088$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.46 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked No | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 42c | 624.36$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 22c | 450.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 42c | 410.38$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.93 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…e8e8backed No | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Yes | 40c | 310.23$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.09 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 62c | 299.95$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.97 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 49c | 266.73$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.76 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Yes | 57c | 249.66$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.31 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 42c | 220.59$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.01 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44dc…2ddbbacked Yes | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 57c | 194$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.58 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 38c | 184.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.64 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +4.2wins | +0.53per pick | 34cpaid | +178.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 40c | 180.54$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.1 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe05b…0912backed Yes | 60c | 166.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3a…c3c8backed Yes | 58c | 165.78$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 57c | 113.08$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.32 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa3…0d9abacked No | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked No | 38c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed No | 45c | 62.87$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 40c | 62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Yes | 51c | 59.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 31c | 56.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 162 | 24.1%39 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c73ebacked Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes | 40c | 51.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…aa35backed No | 52c | 42.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x728c…8434backed Yes | 54c | 41.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed No | 75c | 40.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Yes | 40c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Yes | 57c | 38.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 51c | 38.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 228 | 54.4%124 W · 104 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Yes | 52c | 27.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9630…a9eebacked No | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fa…4bc1backed Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -8.0wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa506…f93bbacked Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f76…e24cbacked Yes | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…c7adbacked Yes | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…c851backed Yes | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda1…e338backed Yes | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…5be2backed Yes | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…18eebacked Yes | 58c | 18.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- OGC Nice vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- OGC Nice vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- OGC Nice vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- OGC Nice vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- OGC Nice vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: OGC Nice (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.