NBA · resolved market
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x520e162ec74a1870341364583214bb0ac4eb937958c992dc7efdf67d2029fd0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Raptors, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,197,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,197,402 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Raptors | 48c | 596,530$286,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286,334.49 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Suns | 52c | 288,465$150,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138,463.15 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Suns | 52c | 277,629$144,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133,261.98 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a0…9a09backed Suns | 52c | 252,292$131,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120,577.25 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Suns | 52c | 87,102$45,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,824.59 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Raptors | 48c | 71,737$34,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,382.54 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Raptors | 48c | 68,000$32,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,640 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Raptors | 47c | 67,168$31,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,498.45 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Raptors | 48c | 55,423$26,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,603.04 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Suns | 52c | 51,291$26,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,619.52 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Suns | 51c | 46,574$23,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,678.55 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Raptors | 48c | 32,632$15,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,618.77 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked Raptors | 49c | 26,028$12,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,735 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Raptors | 48c | 23,290$11,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,068.15 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Suns | 53c | 22,815$12,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,723.05 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors | 48c | 21,769$10,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,387.35 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Raptors | 48c | 21,017$10,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,088.06 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Raptors | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…9742backed Raptors | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Raptors | 48c | 11,702$5,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,616.9 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Suns | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28d7…0e5abacked Raptors | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0865…3dffbacked Suns | 54c | 7,788$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,587.98 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Suns | 52c | 7,500$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Suns | 53c | 6,440$3,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,026.8 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Raptors | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Suns | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Raptors | 47c | 5,719$2,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,716.22 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Raptors | 48c | 5,512$2,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,645.76 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Suns | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Suns | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.58 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Raptors | 47c | 3,415$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605.09 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Suns | 52c | 3,060$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.8 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Suns | 52c | 2,777$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.02 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Suns | 52c | 2,209$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.94 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Raptors | 47c | 2,108$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.34 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Raptors | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Suns | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Raptors | 48c | 1,444$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.05 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Suns | 53c | 1,426$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.23 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Raptors | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Raptors | 49c | 835.9$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.59 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x902e…5f41backed Raptors | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Suns | 53c | 769$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.58 | 205 | 36.6%75 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…4fa8backed Raptors | 49c | 714.29$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd350…8ae8backed Raptors | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Raptors | 49c | 572.63$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.59 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Raptors | 6c | 556.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 387 | 40.3%156 W · 231 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Raptors | 48c | 553$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.44 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Suns | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.99 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e477backed Raptors | 3c | 493.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked Raptors | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Raptors | 48c | 403.16$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.52 | 260 | 43.8%114 W · 146 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Raptors | 46c | 395.26$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.41 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5542…01cebacked Raptors | 48c | 380$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.4 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Raptors | 49c | 378.92$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.67 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Raptors | 48c | 337$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.42 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Suns | 62c | 325.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.05 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…7ee5backed Suns | 52c | 314.15$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.79 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Raptors | 49c | 306$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 240 | 44.6%107 W · 133 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Raptors | 48c | 273.03$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.05 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Suns | 63c | 250$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.82 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…47d0backed Raptors | 46c | 236.79$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.55 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed Suns | 53c | 225.43$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.95 | 343 | 42.9%147 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Raptors | 48c | 220.83$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 181 | 43.1%78 W · 103 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…942bbacked Raptors | 48c | 210.53$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Suns | 52c | 209.62$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.62 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Raptors | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x902f…fb2dbacked Raptors | 47c | 203.45$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +13.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x354f…95f8backed Suns | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Raptors | 48c | 194.05$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.14 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Suns | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3918…b552backed Suns | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd837…f512backed Raptors | 30c | 187.42$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.52 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…de1ebacked Suns | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Raptors | 47c | 170.77$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.72 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…676ebacked Suns | 59c | 169.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.63 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…855fbacked Raptors | 36c | 168.58$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Suns | 52c | 160.8$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.18 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Raptors | 46c | 160$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Raptors | 11c | 153.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Suns | 75c | 149.54$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.11 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca9…4862backed Raptors | 48c | 132.9$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd66e…b743backed Suns | 53c | 120.75$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.75 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Raptors | 48c | 117.81$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.84 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Raptors | 48c | 116.4$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.87 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Suns | 52c | 116.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.76 | 362 | 47.5%172 W · 190 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…14c9backed Raptors | 11c | 114.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked Suns | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf824…651fbacked Raptors | 48c | 112.03$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.74 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Raptors | 20c | 112.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Raptors | 47c | 105.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…5d6fbacked Suns | 53c | 104.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 231 | 44.2%102 W · 129 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Raptors | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…c7dabacked Raptors | 48c | 104.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Raptors | 47c | 103.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…c3a0backed Raptors | 49c | 102$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Suns | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 221 | 70.6%156 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Raptors | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…c2e0backed Raptors | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Raptors (-4.5)this page
- Grayson Allen: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jalen Green: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Raptors vs. SunsSuns won
- Raptors vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Raptors vs. Suns: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Suns: O/U 218.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Suns: O/U 219.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Suns: O/U 220.5Under won
- Royce O'Neale: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Royce O'Neale: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Raptors (-1.5)Suns won
- Spread: Raptors (-2.5)Suns won
- Spread: Raptors (-3.5)Suns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.