TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Suns: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$130,857

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,857 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Under50c49,817$24,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,916.161,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over51c45,819$23,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,241.1248352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c25,000$12,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,500.331,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19bd…111cbacked Under50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,000250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x73f7…6e4bbacked Over50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c10,403$5,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,259.314,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Over50c8,486$4,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,24318749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Under50c8,430$4,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,256.6731643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c75…329abacked Over51c5,314$2,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,729.225750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Under50c5,149$2,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,574.6352460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Under48c3,860$1,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,007.1318151.9%94 W · 87 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under48c3,665$1,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,902.992,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c2,808$1,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,452.453,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under50c2,380$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.463,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Over49c2,354$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,162.5513037.7%49 W · 81 L-14.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under51c2,256$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.371,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under48c1,366$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.392,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c1,121$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.112,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under54c1,111$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.1165872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015952.8%84 W · 75 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Under50c982.89$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.4460351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over50c962.63$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.314,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under50c891.22$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.611,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over51c859.26$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.221,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over51c855.6$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.7667248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8aa…81ecbacked Over50c840$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Under50c838$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41932450.6%164 W · 160 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over49c837.49$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.371,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Under51c783.25$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.7920536.6%75 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over47c780.49$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.393,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over51c733.33$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37418241.2%75 W · 107 L-17.6wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under48c666.67$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.6787453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under50c644$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.511,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed Over53c511.43$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.5319045.8%87 W · 103 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9099…9ca9backed Over50c439.66$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.85742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3e5…697abacked Under49c407.93$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.0520650%103 W · 103 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa89…6cb6backed Under49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2042853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb7b…1476backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019145.5%87 W · 104 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Over54c378.78$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20447651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over51c370.7$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.6589048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c317.5$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.12,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15028348.8%138 W · 145 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Over51c292.55$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.5541742%175 W · 242 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88a2…68a0backed Over51c216.54$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.7715351%78 W · 75 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca4…aa92backed Over51c205.88$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10511157.7%64 W · 47 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025846.9%121 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c199.93$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.559,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked Over52c192.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021748.4%105 W · 112 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Under48c175.14$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.5442153%223 W · 198 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over54c165.89$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.038,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60e8…50c2backed Under61c120.81$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.735651.8%29 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x891d…b19fbacked Over52c119$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.678251.2%42 W · 40 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under46c114.83$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.475,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc8…47d0backed Under48c113.81$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.58342.2%35 W · 48 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under49c110.87$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5478648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over49c106.83$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3997049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under48c103.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.361,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over49c102.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.458754.7%321 W · 266 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023657.2%135 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x727d…c2e0backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506648.5%32 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x917e…eed9backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5121049.5%104 W · 106 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over47c96.56$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.422,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2fc…a7c1backed Over56c89.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe52e…ac6dbacked Over46c86.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.982729.6%8 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x341b…b92cbacked Under51c73.16$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.218344.6%37 W · 46 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Over50c72.9$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5538853.4%207 W · 181 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked Over66c68.43$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4321259.9%127 W · 85 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over53c65.94$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.951,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…af90backed Over51c65.78$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6322454.5%122 W · 102 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over51c62.56$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.844,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa00e…73fabacked Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3016951.5%87 W · 82 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdf4…c6ccbacked Over52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308433.3%28 W · 56 L-10.0wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over49c57$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.931,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over49c57$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0851438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6cf8…6b87backed Under49c55.63$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.371190.9%10 W · 1 L+4.5wins+0.41per pick50cpaid+81.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over49c50.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.823,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under50c49.41$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.51,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under48c44.74$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2668645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb358…2723backed Over52c43.75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.753246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under51c43.28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.281,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under43c43.26$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.665,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over50c43.24$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6255347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb39b…14c9backed Over55c43$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.664240.5%17 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb6f…f414backed Over50c42.88$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.466445.3%29 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Over52c42.31$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2224147.7%115 W · 126 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95eb…6f87backed Under50c42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Under49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8233442.8%143 W · 191 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020144.8%90 W · 111 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x843e…e477backed Under38c39.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6515144.4%67 W · 84 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bfc…8eb3backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013947.5%66 W · 73 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c0b…4d31backed Over51c38.12$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4810252%53 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Over49c36.96$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1163353.1%336 W · 297 L-2.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under49c34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3487049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over36c33.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.841,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.790357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb71f…289abacked Over51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over51c28.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4591746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41c0…9d61backed Under56c26.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6912155.4%67 W · 54 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.