TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Suns: O/U 220.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$518,899

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $518,899 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 498 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Over60c41,311$24,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,925.744,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb275…c76fbacked Under40c35,228$13,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,277.8915551.6%80 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf710…6a75backed Over48c25,634$12,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,304.32771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+48.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0a8…89bebacked Over48c20,528$9,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,853.44666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+26.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa729…9326backed Over48c20,000$9,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,6004949%24 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe119…1b4dbacked Over48c19,189$9,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,210.72475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+50.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x728e…8e52backed Over48c19,079$9,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,157.92475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+53.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd64…7445backed Under52c18,507$9,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,883.443366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa206…1ff5backed Over48c17,695$8,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,493.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6168…fb7ebacked Under52c17,060$8,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,188.8580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.39per pick41cpaid+57.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5be1…7261backed Under52c16,948$8,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,135.04875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+56.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7877…b869backed Under52c16,883$8,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,103.834100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x47f9…8586backed Over48c16,754$8,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,041.92475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e24…96aebacked Under52c16,080$8,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,718.44100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1bac…e2dbbacked Under52c16,071$8,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,714.084100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfa5…79ccbacked Under52c15,939$8,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,650.724100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x987c…0bcdbacked Over48c13,335$6,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,400.68862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under52c13,269$6,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,381.961,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe71c…b65ebacked Under52c11,256$5,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,402.88875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3acf…2921backed Under52c10,421$5,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,002.08771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+42.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over51c10,125$5,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,138.853,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde7d…6a57backed Over48c9,568$4,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,592.64666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+40.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ee2…a7eabacked Under52c9,171$4,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,402.081241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8702…c6d5backed Over48c9,160$4,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,396.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe5…25edbacked Under52c8,824$4,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,235.52683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick52cpaid+63%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x03f2…af53backed Under52c8,515$4,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,087.2771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+43.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over51c6,896$3,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5171,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under37c6,638$2,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,174.322,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce3a…e3bfbacked Under52c6,498$3,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,119.041070%7 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+71.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x984f…8024backed Under52c6,390$3,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,067.2450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea0a…e1b1backed Over48c6,192$2,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,972.16450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+63.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over49c5,973$2,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,920.132,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ff0…cdf5backed Over48c5,794$2,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,781.12650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7342…4169backed Under52c5,629$2,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,701.921181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.31per pick51cpaid+63.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7c2b…d972backed Over48c5,580$2,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,678.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+73.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bf2…7906backed Over48c5,298$2,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,543.04650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb044…8c94backed Under52c5,294$2,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,540.9683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+66.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x788f…a228backed Over48c5,136$2,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,465.28450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8384…9f9bbacked Over48c5,101$2,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,448.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6d0…28ecbacked Over48c5,049$2,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,423.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb088…d961backed Over48c5,016$2,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,407.68560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed1…65cbbacked Over48c4,973$2,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,387.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36c2…a2cebacked Over48c4,961$2,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,381.28771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+41.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e07…1306backed Over48c4,956$2,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,378.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over45c4,848$2,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,168.22,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb2c…c680backed Over48c4,824$2,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,315.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x666c…1a7abacked Over48c4,818$2,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,312.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f76…fe11backed Over48c4,765$2,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,287.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c9…db73backed Over48c4,763$2,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,286.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9477…58eebacked Under52c4,748$2,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,279.04560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46b1…c5ecbacked Over48c4,737$2,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,273.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bdc…8e1ebacked Under52c4,727$2,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,268.96450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c22…02f9backed Over48c4,719$2,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,265.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7c2…e486backed Over48c4,677$2,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,244.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeab0…1b9cbacked Under52c4,671$2,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,242.08875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+50.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7112…f2f9backed Over48c4,643$2,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,228.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ee…7c50backed Over48c4,545$2,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,181.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc920…7914backed Over50c4,538$2,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,281.88648.8%42 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5002…9f56backed Under52c4,525$2,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,172366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9194…96fbbacked Under52c4,521$2,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,170.08475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+48.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac89…8c18backed Over48c4,501$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,160.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaabe…b610backed Under52c4,496$2,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,158.08475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+48.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9562…24e0backed Under52c4,495$2,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,157.6875%6 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+50.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaf5b…3b3ebacked Over48c4,470$2,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,145.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e94…30abbacked Under52c4,455$2,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,138.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a11…348fbacked Over48c4,435$2,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,128.8425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa04a…972fbacked Over48c4,431$2,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,126.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x591b…0cc3backed Over48c4,428$2,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,125.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15a1…3d89backed Over48c4,408$2,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,115.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c4,401$2,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,227.779,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x944c…bd22backed Under52c4,399$2,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,111.52450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3a7…e6b5backed Over48c4,399$2,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,111.52450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7abf…9094backed Under52c4,384$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,104.32540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8594…9e2fbacked Under52c4,376$2,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,100.48580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+60.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd4bb…3e6bbacked Under52c4,373$2,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.04771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.26per pick45cpaid+44.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa962…1973backed Under52c4,361$2,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,093.28875%6 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+51.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe060…9f19backed Under52c4,357$2,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,091.36580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+62.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5688…6680backed Under52c4,352$2,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,088.96875%6 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+57.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0694…22e6backed Under52c4,351$2,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,088.48875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8d5…a554backed Over48c4,348$2,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,087.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9382…dcf4backed Under52c4,338$2,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,082.24475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+48.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed75…3a54backed Over48c4,287$2,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,057.76560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc101…ddd8backed Over48c4,285$2,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,056.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf615…4d09backed Under52c4,269$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,049.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2aa…c43abacked Over48c4,260$2,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,044.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa741…17febacked Over48c4,250$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,040250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27b1…d347backed Under52c4,217$2,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,024.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x227b…98a6backed Under52c4,216$2,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,023.68450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0118…f862backed Under52c4,211$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,021.28560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x305b…562cbacked Under52c4,169$2,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,001.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94cf…5e3fbacked Under52c4,160$2,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,996.8580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+61%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c00…773dbacked Over48c4,157$1,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,995.36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffad…3b11backed Under52c4,140$2,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,987.2875%6 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+53.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2c4d…a79ebacked Under52c4,138$2,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,986.24666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc11a…960fbacked Over48c4,135$1,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,984.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc379…b8cfbacked Under52c4,122$2,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,978.56540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…ad32backed Under52c4,086$2,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,961.28650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aee…2bdcbacked Under52c4,085$2,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,960.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3c8…1443backed Over48c4,076$1,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,956.48333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d9f…200abacked Under52c4,008$2,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,923.84650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.