TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Raptors (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sunsof Raptors, Suns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,678

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,678 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Raptors12c3,475$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.694,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08d7…ca44backed Suns46c3,160$1,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,706.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffa…df9bbacked Suns46c2,997$1,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,618.382100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x042a…6be9backed Suns46c2,993$1,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,616.22250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x483f…4e67backed Raptors54c2,990$1,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,614.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa193…eec8backed Suns46c2,951$1,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,593.542100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd108…52f4backed Suns46c2,915$1,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,574.12100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+103%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4aee…b61bbacked Raptors54c2,878$1,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,554.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3c3…d907backed Suns46c2,868$1,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,548.722100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b0e…dc5dbacked Suns46c2,855$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,541.72100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+103%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa2…8adbbacked Raptors54c2,850$1,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebeb…ce76backed Raptors54c2,827$1,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,526.5820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75ab…f2e4backed Raptors54c2,821$1,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,523.34250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7ba…f93cbacked Raptors54c2,810$1,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,517.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8aa…271bbacked Raptors54c2,790$1,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,506.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfb4…139abacked Raptors54c2,764$1,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,492.5620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Raptors60c2,712$1,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,618.982,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…12f9backed Raptors54c2,701$1,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,458.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf033…6f43backed Raptors54c2,673$1,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,443.4220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b97…0c1abacked Suns46c2,620$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,414.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6e4…c8ddbacked Suns46c2,615$1,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,412.1250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc45…622abacked Raptors54c2,609$1,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,408.8620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fd9…9a42backed Suns46c2,600$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,404250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d73…4bf6backed Suns46c2,592$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.582100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+103%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1f3…dda1backed Suns46c2,581$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,393.74250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d2…ba0cbacked Suns46c2,572$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,388.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfebe…50fabacked Suns46c2,544$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,373.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4a…516abacked Raptors54c2,533$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,370.4920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac94…253fbacked Raptors54c2,515$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,358.120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Suns40c2,500$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5001,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfa9…9f59backed Raptors54c2,436$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0baf…c824backed Raptors54c2,415$1,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,304.120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7527…08b3backed Suns46c2,415$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.1250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc248…299cbacked Raptors54c2,288$1,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,235.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41af…ef8abacked Suns46c2,239$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.06250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4102…21babacked Raptors54c2,088$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,127.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3256…a4b0backed Suns46c2,045$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.32100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1600…fd16backed Raptors54c2,036$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a45…4f48backed Suns46c2,020$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8b2…3510backed Suns46c2,018$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe65a…5301backed Suns46c1,901$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.542100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb41…5c53backed Raptors54c1,899$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.46250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d59…3f2fbacked Raptors54c1,864$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb61f…824abacked Raptors54c1,826$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x445f…3a54backed Suns46c1,757$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.782100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45d9…abf2backed Suns46c1,744$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2a3…3872backed Raptors54c1,733$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.8220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Suns51c1,658$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.622,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe741…d66bbacked Suns46c1,638$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa366…d2acbacked Raptors54c1,633$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.82250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc5f…651fbacked Raptors54c1,623$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.4220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Suns40c1,320$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.984,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Raptors43c1,293$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.263,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Raptors59c1,145$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.5258450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Suns80c1,108$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.848,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x017f…0e4cbacked Suns46c942$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Raptors60c925$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.681,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Suns47c763.57$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.6930157.1%172 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Raptors29c750.55$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.5620536.6%75 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9385…2484backed Suns42c716.38$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.59352.7%49 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Raptors53c685.43$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.069,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors58c590.43$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.724,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Raptors59c506.67$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.62,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Raptors58c441$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.0634851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Suns62c433.17$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.642,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x348a…9c6bbacked Suns47c393.62$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.629637.5%36 W · 60 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Suns40c357.6$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.5687144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x451f…7301backed Raptors59c300$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1767853.8%42 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Raptors60c278$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.81,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Suns47c265.96$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.966237.1%23 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x354f…95f8backed Raptors60c252.19$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1528763.2%55 W · 32 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x34ca…9de7backed Raptors60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509558.9%56 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Suns41c231.94$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.681,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Suns49c220.41$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.4121843.6%95 W · 123 L-15.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Raptors55c218.38$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12024849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Suns41c204.73$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.795,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a2e…3ef0backed Raptors59c202.73$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.6126345.6%120 W · 143 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Raptors53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10678648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06c2…022dbacked Suns46c196.52$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.123053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb920…0ee7backed Raptors27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Suns46c179.04$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.953,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Suns42c167$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.9156547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Raptors60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10090957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe629…361fbacked Raptors54c163$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.0220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Raptors56c160.96$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.481,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked Suns48c160$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.228056.4%158 W · 122 L-1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Raptors58c155.6$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.013,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cba…9a66backed Suns46c152$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb024…1db2backed Suns46c144$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.762100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Raptors42c136.65$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.881,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e98…bb4abacked Raptors55c133$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.15250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba66…587ebacked Suns46c129$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.662100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d57…3a4ebacked Raptors54c124$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Raptors41c123.01$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf1a…335ebacked Suns46c122$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Raptors33c120.55$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.811,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x16da…8605backed Suns46c117$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.18250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a5b…9a1cbacked Suns46c116$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.642100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b05…3f37backed Raptors54c115$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb493…64e0backed Raptors54c115$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.