NBA · resolved market
Spread: Raptors (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb8f43d4af7077040c01fe9fbb8e034c8a2032d228c3f4c2c49e050cef6abf24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Raptors, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,678 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Raptors | 12c | 3,475$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.69 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08d7…ca44backed Suns | 46c | 3,160$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,706.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffa…df9bbacked Suns | 46c | 2,997$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x042a…6be9backed Suns | 46c | 2,993$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x483f…4e67backed Raptors | 54c | 2,990$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa193…eec8backed Suns | 46c | 2,951$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd108…52f4backed Suns | 46c | 2,915$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +103%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aee…b61bbacked Raptors | 54c | 2,878$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c3…d907backed Suns | 46c | 2,868$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0e…dc5dbacked Suns | 46c | 2,855$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +103%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa2…8adbbacked Raptors | 54c | 2,850$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebeb…ce76backed Raptors | 54c | 2,827$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,526.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…f2e4backed Raptors | 54c | 2,821$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ba…f93cbacked Raptors | 54c | 2,810$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8aa…271bbacked Raptors | 54c | 2,790$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb4…139abacked Raptors | 54c | 2,764$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Raptors | 60c | 2,712$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.98 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…12f9backed Raptors | 54c | 2,701$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf033…6f43backed Raptors | 54c | 2,673$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b97…0c1abacked Suns | 46c | 2,620$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…c8ddbacked Suns | 46c | 2,615$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc45…622abacked Raptors | 54c | 2,609$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd9…9a42backed Suns | 46c | 2,600$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d73…4bf6backed Suns | 46c | 2,592$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +103%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f3…dda1backed Suns | 46c | 2,581$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…ba0cbacked Suns | 46c | 2,572$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfebe…50fabacked Suns | 46c | 2,544$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4a…516abacked Raptors | 54c | 2,533$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac94…253fbacked Raptors | 54c | 2,515$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Suns | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa9…9f59backed Raptors | 54c | 2,436$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0baf…c824backed Raptors | 54c | 2,415$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7527…08b3backed Suns | 46c | 2,415$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc248…299cbacked Raptors | 54c | 2,288$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41af…ef8abacked Suns | 46c | 2,239$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4102…21babacked Raptors | 54c | 2,088$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…a4b0backed Suns | 46c | 2,045$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…fd16backed Raptors | 54c | 2,036$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a45…4f48backed Suns | 46c | 2,020$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b2…3510backed Suns | 46c | 2,018$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe65a…5301backed Suns | 46c | 1,901$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb41…5c53backed Raptors | 54c | 1,899$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d59…3f2fbacked Raptors | 54c | 1,864$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…824abacked Raptors | 54c | 1,826$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x445f…3a54backed Suns | 46c | 1,757$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…abf2backed Suns | 46c | 1,744$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…3872backed Raptors | 54c | 1,733$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Suns | 51c | 1,658$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.62 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe741…d66bbacked Suns | 46c | 1,638$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…d2acbacked Raptors | 54c | 1,633$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5f…651fbacked Raptors | 54c | 1,623$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Suns | 40c | 1,320$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.98 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Raptors | 43c | 1,293$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.26 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Raptors | 59c | 1,145$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.52 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 80c | 1,108$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.84 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x017f…0e4cbacked Suns | 46c | 942$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Raptors | 60c | 925$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.68 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Suns | 47c | 763.57$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.69 | 301 | 57.1%172 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Raptors | 29c | 750.55$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.56 | 205 | 36.6%75 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9385…2484backed Suns | 42c | 716.38$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.5 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raptors | 53c | 685.43$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.06 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors | 58c | 590.43$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.72 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Raptors | 59c | 506.67$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.6 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Raptors | 58c | 441$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.06 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Suns | 62c | 433.17$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.64 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x348a…9c6bbacked Suns | 47c | 393.62$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.62 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Suns | 40c | 357.6$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.56 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x451f…7301backed Raptors | 59c | 300$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Raptors | 60c | 278$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.8 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Suns | 47c | 265.96$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.96 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x354f…95f8backed Raptors | 60c | 252.19$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Raptors | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Suns | 41c | 231.94$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.68 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Suns | 49c | 220.41$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.41 | 218 | 43.6%95 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Raptors | 55c | 218.38$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Suns | 41c | 204.73$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.79 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2e…3ef0backed Raptors | 59c | 202.73$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.61 | 263 | 45.6%120 W · 143 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Raptors | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…022dbacked Suns | 46c | 196.52$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.12 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…0ee7backed Raptors | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Suns | 46c | 179.04$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.95 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Suns | 42c | 167$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.91 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Raptors | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe629…361fbacked Raptors | 54c | 163$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Raptors | 56c | 160.96$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.48 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Suns | 48c | 160$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Raptors | 58c | 155.6$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.01 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cba…9a66backed Suns | 46c | 152$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb024…1db2backed Suns | 46c | 144$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Raptors | 42c | 136.65$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e98…bb4abacked Raptors | 55c | 133$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba66…587ebacked Suns | 46c | 129$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d57…3a4ebacked Raptors | 54c | 124$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Raptors | 41c | 123.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1a…335ebacked Suns | 46c | 122$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Raptors | 33c | 120.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.81 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x16da…8605backed Suns | 46c | 117$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5b…9a1cbacked Suns | 46c | 116$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b05…3f37backed Raptors | 54c | 115$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb493…64e0backed Raptors | 54c | 115$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Raptors (-1.5)this page
- Grayson Allen: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jalen Green: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Raptors vs. SunsSuns won
- Raptors vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Raptors vs. Suns: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Suns: O/U 218.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Suns: O/U 219.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Suns: O/U 220.5Under won
- Royce O'Neale: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Royce O'Neale: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Raptors (-2.5)Suns won
- Spread: Raptors (-3.5)Suns won
- Spread: Raptors (-4.5)Suns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.