NBA · resolved market
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb21c8a6cd52884679b5163b6ca22e13ef5dd0595c129730132a52880b215c8a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Raptors, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $405,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $405,972 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 216 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Raptors | 52c | 93,468$48,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,239.59 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Raptors | 52c | 60,000$31,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,999.94 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Raptors | 52c | 55,517$28,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,868.88 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Suns | 48c | 46,355$22,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,162.84 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Suns | 48c | 37,183$17,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,335.29 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Suns | 48c | 34,968$16,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,183.12 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Raptors | 52c | 31,961$16,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,596.89 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Suns | 49c | 30,000$14,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,300 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Suns | 48c | 25,087$12,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,055.26 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors | 52c | 20,594$10,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,676.69 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa350…7119backed Suns | 48c | 16,399$7,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,527.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Raptors | 52c | 15,643$8,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,134.33 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Suns | 48c | 11,683$5,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,075.33 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Suns | 48c | 10,573$5,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,497.92 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0865…3dffbacked Suns | 51c | 10,095$5,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,912.74 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Raptors | 52c | 9,632$4,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,979.08 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Suns | 48c | 9,437$4,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,907.5 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Suns | 48c | 8,213$3,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,270.76 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Suns | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Suns | 48c | 7,912$3,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,114.5 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…0602backed Raptors | 50c | 7,636$3,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,815.92 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Raptors | 51c | 7,017$3,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,603.2 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ea…57d4backed Raptors | 52c | 5,756$2,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,993 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x982f…301fbacked Suns | 48c | 5,625$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,925 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99fb…8ea0backed Suns | 48c | 5,550$2,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,886 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb67b…0fd7backed Suns | 48c | 5,417$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,816.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Suns | 48c | 5,264$2,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,741.33 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb60c…05a7backed Suns | 48c | 5,244$2,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,726.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6eb…5402backed Suns | 48c | 5,208$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.33 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Raptors | 52c | 4,978$2,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,588.37 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Raptors | 51c | 4,822$2,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,472.69 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fa…249bbacked Suns | 48c | 4,744$2,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,466.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Raptors | 52c | 4,441$2,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,309.32 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raptors | 49c | 4,298$2,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088.39 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Suns | 48c | 4,249$2,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,209.22 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Suns | 52c | 4,243$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,037.94 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…4e7cbacked Raptors | 52c | 4,080$2,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,121.6 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Suns | 48c | 3,975$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Raptors | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Suns | 48c | 3,750$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950.08 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Suns | 50c | 3,539$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,784.87 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 63c | 3,235$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.52 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Raptors | 52c | 2,097$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.33 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Raptors | 52c | 2,087$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.24 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Suns | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Raptors | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Suns | 49c | 1,480$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.8 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Suns | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Raptors | 50c | 996.27$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.14 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb846…eb61backed Suns | 49c | 918.37$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.37 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Suns | 48c | 886.77$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.52 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Raptors | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Raptors | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Raptors | 31c | 799.96$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Suns | 48c | 787.5$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.5 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Raptors | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Suns | 49c | 626.53$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.53 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Raptors | 52c | 567.09$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.88 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x108c…122dbacked Raptors | 53c | 535$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.55 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -10.1wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd36e…0b6ebacked Suns | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Raptors | 53c | 481$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.93 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4be…a13dbacked Raptors | 52c | 423.08$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Raptors | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Suns | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Raptors | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Raptors | 52c | 358.19$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.91 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Suns | 49c | 311.27$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.75 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Raptors | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Raptors | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Raptors | 52c | 299.99$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.36 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Suns | 48c | 298$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.96 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Suns | 49c | 294$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.94 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Suns | 46c | 289.62$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.4 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Raptors | 51c | 263.37$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.27 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Suns | 49c | 225$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.75 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Suns | 49c | 222.32$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Raptors | 51c | 222$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.22 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Suns | 49c | 210.6$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.41 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Suns | 49c | 210$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540f…92bebacked Suns | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Suns | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Suns | 49c | 204$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.04 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…4648backed Suns | 52c | 203.22$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.45 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2144…0a81backed Suns | 49c | 195.92$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.92 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5254…372dbacked Raptors | 52c | 192.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.06 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Raptors | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03e6…24e6backed Raptors | 53c | 178.26$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.94 | 98 | 41.8%41 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Suns | 49c | 171$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.21 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Suns | 49c | 171$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.21 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…ca10backed Suns | 49c | 171$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.21 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Raptors | 48c | 165.65$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.69 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c84…ac9abacked Raptors | 53c | 164.74$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.31 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Raptors | 53c | 162.26$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 187 | 44.4%83 W · 104 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Suns | 48c | 160$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…c6afbacked Raptors | 53c | 158.35$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.31 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Raptors | 52c | 151$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.52 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…39e2backed Raptors | 52c | 151$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.52 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Suns | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Raptors | 52c | 146.56$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.21 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Suns | 49c | 137$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.87 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Raptors (-3.5)this page
- Grayson Allen: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jalen Green: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Raptors vs. SunsSuns won
- Raptors vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Raptors vs. Suns: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Suns: O/U 218.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Suns: O/U 219.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Suns: O/U 220.5Under won
- Royce O'Neale: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Royce O'Neale: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Raptors (-1.5)Suns won
- Spread: Raptors (-2.5)Suns won
- Spread: Raptors (-4.5)Suns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.