NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Suns: O/U 218.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79e26bd49ca0c6467f62c64ccf48ae183cc2e45942590c11e202533806eed524
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,462
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,462 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 46c | 2,103$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.77 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 55c | 1,824$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 52c | 996.9$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.39 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Under | 38c | 923.68$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.78 | 205 | 36.6%75 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 47c | 812.8$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.99 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 48c | 699.52$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.75 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 21c | 679.78$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.22 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 46c | 608.98$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.85 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 47c | 592.76$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.45 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1160…b054backed Over | 56c | 578.38$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.75 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 43c | 560.09$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.33 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 52c | 546.38$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.32 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Over | 50c | 509.98$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.99 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Over | 76c | 504.85$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked Over | 54c | 457.81$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.22 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Over | 51c | 407.84$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Over | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 21c | 311.21$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.34 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Under | 22c | 259$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.18 | 240 | 44.6%107 W · 133 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 79c | 242$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.18 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 46c | 238.44$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.15 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64f7…32aabacked Over | 60c | 201.58$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.3 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Over | 54c | 185.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.93 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bd…7235backed Over | 51c | 160.19$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.7 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 47c | 118.86$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.95 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 52c | 118.11$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.42 | 249 | 55.8%139 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under | 48c | 106$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.12 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 102.33$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.26 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 221 | 70.6%156 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 52c | 99.32$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.16 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4819…c342backed Over | 78c | 97.64$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.16 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…e2a2backed Over | 65c | 77.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…47d0backed Under | 47c | 68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 74c | 67.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 68c | 63.21$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa5…9cf3backed Over | 53c | 54.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfc…0a65backed Over | 69c | 53.92$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf8…6b87backed Under | 47c | 53.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +4.5wins | +0.41per pick | 50cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 47c | 53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…4182backed Under | 48c | 50.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…3970backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Over | 64c | 45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…14c9backed Over | 44c | 41.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b9…cea8backed Over | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 48c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Over | 49c | 35.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 156 | 62.8%98 W · 58 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over | 50c | 32.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 50c | 31.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb678…5b46backed Over | 53c | 30.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a33…9a46backed Over | 47c | 30.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c7…4459backed Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Over | 53c | 26.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…a81bbacked Under | 65c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…99cfbacked Over | 75c | 20.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 303 | 48.2%146 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…24fbbacked Over | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…ae1dbacked Over | 62c | 18.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Suns: O/U 218.5this page
- Grayson Allen: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jalen Green: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Raptors vs. SunsSuns won
- Raptors vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Raptors vs. Suns: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Suns: O/U 219.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Suns: O/U 220.5Under won
- Royce O'Neale: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Royce O'Neale: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Raptors (-1.5)Suns won
- Spread: Raptors (-2.5)Suns won
- Spread: Raptors (-3.5)Suns won
- Spread: Raptors (-4.5)Suns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.