TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Raptors (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sunsof Raptors, Suns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$307,164

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $307,164 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Suns44c56,247$24,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,498.372648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Raptors56c25,325$14,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,18237747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors51c24,567$12,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,592.14,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Suns49c24,444$11,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,466.4387144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Suns44c18,182$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,181.8226648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Raptors56c11,216$6,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,28118749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcef…a339backed Raptors56c10,406$5,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,827.272152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Raptors56c10,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,60048343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Suns49c9,636$4,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,914.361,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Raptors56c8,804$4,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,918.641,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Suns52c7,366$3,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,548.681,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f06…6a0abacked Suns50c5,200$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd182…ef51backed Raptors50c5,100$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,55010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Suns50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5001,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f22…6e19backed Raptors50c4,900$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,45020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ef2…dc87backed Suns50c4,788$2,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,393.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e98…bb4abacked Suns50c4,622$2,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,311250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba66…587ebacked Suns50c4,316$2,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1582100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16da…8605backed Raptors50c4,241$2,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,120.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2351…9464backed Suns50c4,237$2,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,118.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce35…4b58backed Suns50c4,001$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Raptors56c3,901$2,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,184.6217550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe629…361fbacked Raptors50c3,878$1,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,93920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Suns45c3,831$1,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,123.899,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebae…474bbacked Raptors50c3,693$1,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,846.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe54a…424dbacked Suns50c3,655$1,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,827.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb493…64e0backed Raptors50c3,636$1,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,81820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b05…3f37backed Suns50c3,601$1,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f6e…84b4backed Raptors56c3,571$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0005349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cba…9a66backed Suns50c3,455$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,727.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb024…1db2backed Suns50c3,411$1,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,705.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f52…b4d4backed Suns50c3,269$1,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,634.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fcb…3d8dbacked Suns50c3,232$1,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6162100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf83…52e2backed Suns50c3,211$1,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,605.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5689…c0b6backed Suns50c3,188$1,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,594250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4ed…429dbacked Suns50c3,110$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,555250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors55c3,077$1,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,692.634,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d57…3a4ebacked Suns50c3,046$1,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,523250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a5b…9a1cbacked Suns50c3,030$1,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5152100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4444…2336backed Suns50c3,028$1,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5142100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdee7…1f61backed Suns50c3,016$1,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5082100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Suns47c3,011$1,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,595.9814245.8%65 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ad6…6b16backed Raptors50c2,995$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,497.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4572…4afdbacked Raptors50c2,990$1,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,49520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e94…f841backed Suns50c2,985$1,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,492.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6b7…224ebacked Raptors50c2,985$1,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,492.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x166d…985ebacked Raptors50c2,965$1,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,482.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22ce…17e6backed Raptors50c2,963$1,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,481.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3875…e40fbacked Suns50c2,940$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,470250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a7f…7cf9backed Raptors50c2,921$1,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0503…d8a0backed Suns50c2,915$1,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,457.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5df…2f97backed Raptors50c2,905$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,452.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc1d…27fabacked Suns50c2,860$1,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,430250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd129…be33backed Suns50c2,840$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,420250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9f3…47e6backed Suns50c2,795$1,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,397.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc50b…a2b1backed Suns50c2,775$1,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,387.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4b3…2ce7backed Raptors50c2,750$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,37520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Raptors56c2,701$1,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,512.4820537.1%76 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27ff…9cb0backed Suns50c2,681$1,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,340.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06a8…8074backed Raptors50c2,680$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,340250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11c3…7f82backed Raptors50c2,671$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,335.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29a2…ab3fbacked Suns50c2,661$1,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5932…de3dbacked Raptors50c2,660$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,33020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48ba…5a55backed Suns50c2,650$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3252100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeba5…0669backed Suns50c2,642$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,321250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe36c…9c41backed Raptors50c2,641$1,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a9b…cb0cbacked Suns50c2,635$1,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,317.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9511…6697backed Raptors50c2,632$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,31620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5677…894ebacked Suns50c2,629$1,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,314.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7527…08b3backed Raptors50c2,611$1,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,305.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x017f…0e4cbacked Raptors50c2,601$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Suns44c2,500$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4001,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Raptors52c2,441$1,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,262.312,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfebe…50fabacked Raptors50c2,415$1,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe65a…5301backed Suns50c2,411$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c00…f8aebacked Suns50c2,349$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31e7…a5bdbacked Raptors50c2,294$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Raptors56c2,284$1,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.3115240.8%62 W · 90 L-12.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbf1a…335ebacked Raptors50c2,275$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.73250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98d2…fc2fbacked Raptors50c2,241$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a7b…7cb0backed Raptors50c2,236$1,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,118250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33cb…b0b6backed Raptors50c2,229$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x540e…8902backed Raptors50c2,216$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67f8…ae35backed Raptors50c2,215$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe95f…be66backed Raptors50c2,201$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4a…516abacked Raptors50c2,200$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd179…a981backed Raptors50c2,063$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41af…ef8abacked Raptors50c2,042$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe33f…d2d2backed Raptors50c2,042$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac94…253fbacked Raptors52c2,041$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a45…4f48backed Suns50c2,025$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3256…a4b0backed Suns50c2,011$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0baf…c824backed Raptors50c2,003$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35a0…e51abacked Raptors50c2,002$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec0…86bbbacked Raptors50c2,001$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Raptors51c1,999$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.492,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9486…35c1backed Suns50c1,996$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9982100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8b2…3510backed Raptors50c1,922$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafd3…8503backed Raptors50c1,899$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7223…a43abacked Raptors50c1,838$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.