Mls · resolved market
Philadelphia Union vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc7b52405af6eaf79c1494de0f757a2b8ba96d4d3d00bd484001e3beba8af966
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $260,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $260,795 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Under | 48c | 165,230$79,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,299.6 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked Over | 52c | 55,998$29,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,879.04 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 52c | 46,766$24,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,461.4 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Under | 49c | 19,994$9,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,796.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Over | 52c | 17,066$8,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,266.37 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Over | 52c | 13,975$7,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,760.46 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 52c | 13,000$6,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,240 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 12,638$6,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,015.33 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 11,894$5,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,693.1 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 52c | 8,103$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,903.6 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Over | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.35 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over | 51c | 5,574$2,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,731.26 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 49c | 4,990$2,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,445.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 51c | 4,706$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,305.88 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 52c | 3,830$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.09 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Over | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Over | 52c | 2,968$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.77 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Over | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 52c | 2,020$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.85 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Over | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 52c | 1,817$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.3 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 52c | 1,788$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.24 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a39…a189backed Over | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…159dbacked Over | 51c | 1,308$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Over | 52c | 1,275$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 48c | 1,247$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.45 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 54c | 1,023$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.46 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Under | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 51c | 1,019$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.57 | 190 | 44.7%85 W · 105 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 64c | 802.22$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.78 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 2c | 739.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +18.7wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 51c | 700$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed Over | 52c | 700$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 52c | 615.38$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.38 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66b…e6c2backed Over | 53c | 611.64$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Under | 49c | 530.5$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.25 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 43c | 455$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.44 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 53c | 451.99$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.44 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 55c | 341.82$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.82 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 45c | 325.1$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.23 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…8a64backed Under | 48c | 225.5$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 43c | 216.66$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.94 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…fd1ebacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +106.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 58c | 186$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.89 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 52c | 175$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 52c | 175$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 51c | 163.64$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.18 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 52c | 160$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 50c | 156.5$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.32 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 52c | 155.54$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.28 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 52c | 140$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 52c | 140$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…1f95backed Over | 53c | 138.9$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.33 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.34per pick | 54cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…c739backed Over | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over | 52c | 109$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.32 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 52c | 107$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.36 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…7857backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd35e…a1e8backed Over | 53c | 91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Over | 51c | 91$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 52c | 75.56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.27 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a8…2282backed Over | 79c | 74.68$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Over | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Over | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 60c | 67.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -6.6wins | -0.15per pick | 64cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 51c | 64.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe013…1ddcbacked Over | 52c | 62.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Over | 52c | 62.39$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4e…44b3backed Over | 52c | 61.42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Union vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Philadelphia Union vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Philadelphia Union vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Philadelphia Union vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Philadelphia Union (-1.5)Chicago Fire FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.