TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-20.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Furman Paladinsof Connecticut Huskies, Furman Paladins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$584,192

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $584,192 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8e0…ad50backed Furman Paladins50c234,470$118,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116,293.093842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b3f…3446backed Connecticut Huskies50c99,738$49,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,868.755367.9%36 W · 17 L+9.6wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+32.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Connecticut Huskies50c96,751$48,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,004.5719950.3%100 W · 99 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Furman Paladins49c80,021$39,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,711.098148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Connecticut Huskies49c50,000$24,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,50017742.9%76 W · 101 L+0.8wins0.00per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2643…39aebacked Furman Paladins51c39,026$19,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,122.576245.2%28 W · 34 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Connecticut Huskies52c26,183$13,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,498.091,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Connecticut Huskies49c21,747$10,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,658.032,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Connecticut Huskies52c16,713$8,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,690.6112251.6%63 W · 59 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Connecticut Huskies50c16,101$8,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,043.9512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Connecticut Huskies51c14,943$7,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,620.7136944.2%163 W · 206 L-19.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Connecticut Huskies49c13,000$6,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,37090645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Furman Paladins49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,1004540%18 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Furman Paladins48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,20010441.3%43 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Connecticut Huskies52c9,420$4,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,853.091,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Furman Paladins48c6,558$3,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,410.0410749.5%53 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Furman Paladins48c5,922$2,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,079.5118744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Furman Paladins51c5,106$2,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,525.055,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Connecticut Huskies51c3,910$1,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,994.284,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Connecticut Huskies51c3,887$1,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,982.5111252.7%59 W · 53 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Furman Paladins61c3,249$1,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,263.3161652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd33a…2cc4backed Connecticut Huskies52c2,870$1,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,482.551861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+24.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Connecticut Huskies49c2,546$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.327755.2%153 W · 124 L+19.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9700…0e70backed Connecticut Huskies52c2,478$1,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,288.6420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dc6…0f6abacked Furman Paladins50c2,082$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.812157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Connecticut Huskies50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd817…ac33backed Furman Paladins49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0208444%37 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ac8…7b39backed Furman Paladins50c1,983$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.25580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+44%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Connecticut Huskies50c1,763$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.296349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x335d…8f03backed Connecticut Huskies50c1,730$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.038748.3%42 W · 45 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Connecticut Huskies50c1,621$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.716341.7%68 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbee0…aa9fbacked Furman Paladins49c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7657643.4%33 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe182…b624backed Connecticut Huskies50c1,457$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.725552.7%29 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Furman Paladins49c1,438$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.4942948.5%208 W · 221 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x201a…66a8backed Connecticut Huskies50c1,365$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.634337.2%16 W · 27 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Connecticut Huskies52c1,364$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.1512749.6%63 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7e9…bdacbacked Furman Paladins48c1,325$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.358046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6560…e164backed Connecticut Huskies50c1,255$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.53647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c83…cf0abacked Connecticut Huskies50c1,197$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.7113343.6%58 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Connecticut Huskies50c1,105$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.4818048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdce8…8663backed Connecticut Huskies50c1,009$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.51154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Connecticut Huskies51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.015944.1%26 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Connecticut Huskies50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a0e…691dbacked Connecticut Huskies50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-44.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f23…7333backed Connecticut Huskies50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Furman Paladins51c991.25$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.7110543.8%46 W · 59 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Connecticut Huskies51c991.25$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.5415356.2%86 W · 67 L+14.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+27.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa097…fba7backed Furman Paladins51c897.38$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.619148.4%44 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Connecticut Huskies50c889.45$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.7310443.3%45 W · 59 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Furman Paladins54c844.94$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.746246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf12e…7939backed Connecticut Huskies50c833.18$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.593748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x91db…6fb2backed Connecticut Huskies50c819.18$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.595843.1%25 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda31…8e56backed Furman Paladins49c800$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4088138.3%31 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1896…0f63backed Furman Paladins49c773.85$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+106.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b1e…6738backed Connecticut Huskies50c765.15$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.585054%27 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb14…bd17backed Connecticut Huskies52c734.34$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.4516350.9%83 W · 80 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77d4…3983backed Connecticut Huskies50c715.15$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.585341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Connecticut Huskies50c697.43$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.7211542.6%49 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397b…31bebacked Connecticut Huskies50c697.43$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.72683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick48cpaid+74.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Furman Paladins50c640.35$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.1739454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1f1…2d5fbacked Connecticut Huskies50c632.07$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.043154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6a7…0af9backed Connecticut Huskies50c597.72$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.861850%9 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4a9…4d64backed Connecticut Huskies50c597.43$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.727231.9%23 W · 49 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-29.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Connecticut Huskies52c595.75$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.7922043.2%95 W · 125 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Connecticut Huskies51c594.75$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.3210846.3%50 W · 58 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Connecticut Huskies51c506$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.0613840.6%56 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Connecticut Huskies49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2451855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x65d4…4e71backed Furman Paladins53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2355966.1%39 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Furman Paladins48c499.98$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.994944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Furman Paladins50c495.63$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.817143.7%31 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Connecticut Huskies52c476.57$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.8244146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Furman Paladins50c453.99$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22710448.1%50 W · 54 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Connecticut Huskies51c409.99$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.119147.6%91 W · 100 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d6…d65fbacked Connecticut Huskies50c379.58$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.795639.3%22 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Connecticut Huskies52c345.16$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.4827955.2%154 W · 125 L+22.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked Connecticut Huskies51c325.05$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.7810458.7%61 W · 43 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc96f…d46bbacked Furman Paladins49c303.44$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.762548%12 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42d0…77e2backed Furman Paladins49c302.57$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.313751.4%19 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Connecticut Huskies52c297.38$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.6417051.2%87 W · 83 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Connecticut Huskies51c297.38$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.6660548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc098…7e69backed Furman Paladins49c242.76$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.811330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-39%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6a45…1405backed Connecticut Huskies48c237.4$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1144953.1%26 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdef1…c0debacked Furman Paladins50c224$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1121258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+28.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7592…f661backed Furman Paladins50c214$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.163647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Furman Paladins49c205$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.5557448.3%277 W · 297 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd39…109dbacked Furman Paladins49c202.3$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.172268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Furman Paladins50c198.25$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.1333855%186 W · 152 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41f9…84e6backed Furman Paladins50c198.25$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.1320642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Connecticut Huskies51c194.36$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.133953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b79…3c8cbacked Connecticut Huskies52c190.63$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.132330.4%7 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-41%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3abc…b096backed Furman Paladins50c188.34$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.773470.6%24 W · 10 L+7.0wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+39.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Connecticut Huskies51c178.81$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.7822250%111 W · 111 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0870…1e49backed Furman Paladins48c176.64$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.271241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Connecticut Huskies52c174.46$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.7230152.8%159 W · 142 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Furman Paladins39c171.42$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.571,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Connecticut Huskies50c158.6$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.316253.1%86 W · 76 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Connecticut Huskies52c152.62$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3613445.5%61 W · 73 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Furman Paladins49c127.87$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2123948.1%115 W · 124 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Connecticut Huskies52c122.92$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.927258.3%42 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc90…f8edbacked Connecticut Huskies50c121.75$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.