Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-21.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64f4ff60cecdd240573a7a8593427cfcab5d1b78b6183a90238ccea7703df7b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Furman Paladinsof Connecticut Huskies, Furman Paladins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,569
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Connecticut Huskies | 47c | 4,959$2,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340.51 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Furman Paladins | 52c | 4,063$2,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.69 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Connecticut Huskies | 47c | 2,815$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.85 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Furman Paladins | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Furman Paladins | 52c | 1,518$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.49 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Furman Paladins | 56c | 905.65$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.83 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bda…4282backed Connecticut Huskies | 65c | 551.57$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.08 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Furman Paladins | 53c | 519.31$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.46 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Connecticut Huskies | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Connecticut Huskies | 15c | 206.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Connecticut Huskies | 47c | 188.68$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.68 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Connecticut Huskies | 46c | 188.64$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.77 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf4…66bbbacked Furman Paladins | 53c | 187.03$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.91 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Connecticut Huskies | 47c | 186.29$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.56 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84a8…ad8fbacked Furman Paladins | 72c | 135.84$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Connecticut Huskies | 47c | 123.46$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.02 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Furman Paladins | 53c | 104.43$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.08 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc6…ace8backed Connecticut Huskies | 57c | 69.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Connecticut Huskies | 47c | 54.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Connecticut Huskies | 46c | 36.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb91…f1edbacked Furman Paladins | 54c | 36.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa657…1b1fbacked Connecticut Huskies | 33c | 35.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Connecticut Huskies | 45c | 32.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Connecticut Huskies | 45c | 29.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…e1d1backed Connecticut Huskies | 57c | 26.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-21.5)this page
- Furman Paladins vs. Connecticut HuskiesConnecticut Huskies won
- Furman Paladins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 134.5Over won
- Furman Paladins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 135.5Over won
- Furman Paladins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 136.5Over won
- Furman Paladins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 140.5Over won
- Furman Paladins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 141.5Over won
- Furman Paladins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 143.5Over won
- Furman Paladins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 147.5Over won
- Furman Paladins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 149.5Over won
- Furman Paladins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 156.5Under won
- Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-14.5)Furman Paladins won
- Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-15.5)Furman Paladins won
- Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-16.5)Furman Paladins won
- Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-20.5)Furman Paladins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.