TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-15.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Furman Paladinsof Connecticut Huskies, Furman Paladins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,906
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,907

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,906 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5fea…78b1backed Connecticut Huskies46c812.36$371 inLost-$370.548754%47 W · 40 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Furman Paladins51c667.22$341 inWon+$326.412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Connecticut Huskies8c554.11$44 inLost-$44.0324951.8%129 W · 120 L+19.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Furman Paladins56c499.96$280 inWon+$219.9842934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2aef…f8dfbacked Furman Paladins46c299.98$138 inWon+$161.99757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+63.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Connecticut Huskies44c280.98$124 inLost-$123.6746246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Connecticut Huskies54c259.96$140 inLost-$140.3844146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Connecticut Huskies44c177.84$78 inLost-$78.2752843.6%230 W · 298 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb7b…1476backed Furman Paladins56c177.03$99 inWon+$77.89560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e79…0658backed Furman Paladins56c175.48$99 inWon+$76.342532%8 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Connecticut Huskies44c127.89$56 inLost-$56.271,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Connecticut Huskies31c104.85$33 inLost-$32.9817647.2%83 W · 93 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf824…651fbacked Furman Paladins56c88.52$50 inWon+$38.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+22.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bea…c4b2backed Furman Paladins58c85.47$50 inWon+$35.94344.2%19 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+9.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2dc8…47d0backed Connecticut Huskies46c32.71$15 inLost-$15.055644.6%25 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Connecticut Huskies44c31.2$14 inLost-$13.734753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Furman Paladins65c26.74$17 inWon+$9.2784854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Connecticut Huskies54c18.71$10 inLost-$10.122953.7%123 W · 106 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Connecticut Huskies54c18.71$10 inLost-$10.19056.7%51 W · 39 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+31.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.