TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Furman Paladins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 136.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$217,066

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,066 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2537…bff9backed Over50c83,536$41,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,084.3944452.7%234 W · 210 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under51c55,596$28,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,211.054348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c33,691$16,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,644.9212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over49c24,242$11,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,381.522,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b8f…1b4fbacked Under0c18,875$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under51c8,243$4,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,20446246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Over51c8,000$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,919.9918548.6%90 W · 95 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa59…75ecbacked Under51c4,944$2,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,521.4414346.9%67 W · 76 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under49c4,861$2,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,373.791,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c4,489$2,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,266.725,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x561e…2093backed Under51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0403333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb18…6d4ebacked Under49c3,942$1,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,932.5340%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Over50c3,343$1,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,669.7816341.7%68 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1f7…c4e5backed Over51c2,910$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,43013343.6%58 W · 75 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under51c2,333$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.817643.8%77 W · 99 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd817…ac33backed Over51c2,000$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.678444%37 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b1e…6738backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0005054%27 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under49c1,747$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.5515858.2%92 W · 66 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x173a…eb85backed Over50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeae5…0720backed Over50c1,100$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5501346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Over48c1,055$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.4522043.2%95 W · 125 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa957…318bbacked Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5005356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Over48c995.55$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.6810846.3%50 W · 58 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Over50c978.89$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.530649%150 W · 156 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbee0…aa9fbacked Over51c959.05$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.977643.4%33 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c83…cf0abacked Under52c946.96$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.4213343.6%58 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Over48c826.05$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.553369.7%23 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under52c699.99$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36416147.2%76 W · 85 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fbc…8a18backed Over49c607.64$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.94353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Under54c574.96$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.4823754.9%130 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x126d…f863backed Over51c570.39$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.492646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Over49c557.96$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.5613840.6%56 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe182…b624backed Over50c543.36$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.755552.7%29 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over47c509.52$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.0440755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Over46c499.97$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.9937246.2%172 W · 200 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x268e…bb7fbacked Under52c482.75$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.032245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x201a…66a8backed Over50c453.36$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.754337.2%16 W · 27 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Over47c440.22$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.323357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4be…a13dbacked Over48c410.96$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.74153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Over50c409.53$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.8518048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under48c394.35$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.2918556.8%105 W · 80 L+14.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2155…f351backed Over48c351.07$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.562941.4%12 W · 17 L-5.0wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-34%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under49c346.94$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17082048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked Over49c341.98$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.415457.4%31 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over49c340.99$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.9130152.8%159 W · 142 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c335.83$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.4918744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Over51c323.36$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.7510443.3%45 W · 59 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under49c316$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.811,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over48c309.77$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.0830853.2%164 W · 144 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Over49c307.29$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.7222954.1%124 W · 105 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Over49c305.31$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.716261.3%38 W · 24 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Over48c303.33$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.735959.3%35 W · 24 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf1e…63bbbacked Over47c297.38$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.611450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Over47c280.39$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.6110749.5%53 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under53c261.89$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.781,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over55c250.62$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.725,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over59c247.22$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.143,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Over49c235.92$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.327258.3%42 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6560…e164backed Over51c223.18$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.263647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31a7…6d08backed Under53c222.99$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.952045%9 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc098…7e69backed Under55c216.29$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.961330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-39%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x12f2…2ba5backed Over50c210$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1052737%10 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88a0…f673backed Over48c207.4$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.994454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Over49c202.3$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.175561.8%34 W · 21 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x049a…d1b1backed Under50c201.68$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x920c…b852backed Over51c200.41$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…b78ebacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc6…0f6abacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x362a…8683backed Under52c198.25$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.094355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under49c198.25$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1438837.6%146 W · 242 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1379…e6b8backed Under50c198.25$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.131844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41f9…84e6backed Under50c198.25$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1320642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Over51c193.18$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.6611542.6%49 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91db…6fb2backed Over51c193.18$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.665843.1%25 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked Over51c193.13$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.646246.8%29 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed Over52c190.63$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.518846.8%88 W · 100 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a78…4f6ebacked Under50c190.2$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd93…cb02backed Over51c188.14$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under54c183.58$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1383350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc41f…1098backed Over51c181.77$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Under55c180.24$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1318851.6%97 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under55c180.24$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1322250%111 W · 111 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Under55c180.24$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.137454.1%40 W · 34 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa9b…c786backed Under50c178.88$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd48…7b9ebacked Over51c175.67$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb6…c466backed Under50c175.21$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Over49c171.49$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.467354.8%40 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Over49c158.6$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.896251.6%32 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8d7…c407backed Over47c156.07$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.72742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x960d…4629backed Over48c155$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.63375.8%25 W · 8 L+8.0wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+46.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x77a7…bb11backed Over48c154.93$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.563754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Over48c153.65$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.0212254.1%66 W · 56 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Over48c152.65$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.385660.7%34 W · 22 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x30f8…b824backed Under48c149.92$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.962347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Over49c122.92$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.696152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under49c120.53$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4962451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f23…7333backed Over50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x983a…ac6bbacked Under49c118.95$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.298245.1%37 W · 45 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over45c118.06$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.9322047.7%105 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.