South American Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Juárez vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56a651cf68159aeff32e8dfdfd7c05d17eed454e80040d6876dce2a60456bd56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,622 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 24c | 1,306$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.5 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 28c | 1,092$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.2 | 138 | 28.3%39 W · 99 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 832.45$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 773.58$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.06 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 60c | 531.46$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.17 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 72c | 453$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.35 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Yes | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 52c | 365.5$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.66 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 33c | 273.78$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.11 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 75c | 206.38$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.23 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 41c | 192.62$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.58 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 80c | 171$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2628…757bbacked No | 34c | 164.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 24c | 163.37$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92de…87eebacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 27c | 146.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 24c | 143.37$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…6112backed Yes | 27c | 133.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d69…7bd2backed Yes | 47c | 131.29$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed No | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +136.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 43c | 105.28$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.59 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 104.25$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc414…d870backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Yes | 20c | 99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 71c | 98.96$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1c…372bbacked Yes | 56c | 98.61$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…b8d6backed Yes | 33c | 81.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…abcbbacked No | 73c | 76.71$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 20c | 70.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked No | 73c | 66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 65c | 64.78$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 71c | 62.34$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…9f10backed No | 70c | 57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed No | 48c | 54.45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 57c | 52.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked No | 73c | 52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Yes | 30c | 49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x464c…4632backed Yes | 35c | 46.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…b9f9backed Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8911…5ffabacked Yes | 28c | 44.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 28c | 40.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 39.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 53c | 35.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed No | 73c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…7e76backed Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 51c | 26.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Yes | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked No | 70c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 62cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89ce…f240backed Yes | 46c | 21.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed No | 76c | 20.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed No | 76c | 16.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Juárez vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Juárez win on 2026-03-22?Yes won
- Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-03-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.