TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will FC Juárez win on 2026-03-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$139,607

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,607 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed No71c86,353$61,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,675.1229446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Yes29c30,000$8,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,3003167.7%21 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Yes29c12,642$3,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,975.822450%12 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes28c12,338$3,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,865.481740.8%333 W · 484 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Yes28c7,550$2,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,436520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes32c5,230$1,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,538.868,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No48c4,394$2,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,122.061,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes54c4,358$2,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,012.0721251.9%110 W · 102 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes30c3,707$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.3631349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes29c3,163$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,253.0823354.9%128 W · 105 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x481d…9098backed Yes28c3,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,159.99887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.36per pick51cpaid+82.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes43c2,984$1,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,694.975,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed Yes28c2,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4403100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+173.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes44c1,903$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.5530841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed No55c1,809$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9981540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Yes28c1,786$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.711947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes30c1,319$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.772,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes28c1,317$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.323,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Yes29c1,231$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.032152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb673…d240backed Yes28c1,214$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed No16c1,163$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.068444%37 W · 47 L+11.9wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+23.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked No17c1,094$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.982343.5%10 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+0.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes28c1,019$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.213828.3%39 W · 99 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No59c977.52$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.0884943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No47c855$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.7632936.5%120 W · 209 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Yes28c852.22$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.225052%26 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes69c729.14$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.611,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed No47c699.18$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.224951%25 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No68c681.67$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.4736339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes29c636.23$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.5728231.6%89 W · 193 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No72c612.16$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.781,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab65…4a03backed Yes28c610.29$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.412100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+311.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Yes37c605.92$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.937951.9%41 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Yes28c542$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+78.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eca…969abacked Yes43c541.23$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes28c499.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.992,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e56…8243backed Yes28c495$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.4862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+39.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.787332.9%24 W · 49 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes28c375$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2701,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes28c339.74$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.491,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No72c300$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21611245.5%51 W · 61 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes28c295$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.0517436.2%63 W · 111 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No58c294.71$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.871,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf3d…fd74backed Yes28c281.78$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.523751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No45c274.65$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.1213451.5%69 W · 65 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Yes28c257$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.145944.1%26 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aef…f8dfbacked No55c255$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.253043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Yes28c246$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.87825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Yes56c239.11$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.8615651.9%81 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No38c230.93$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.6816740.1%67 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9055…12cebacked Yes44c229.99$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.89428.7%27 W · 67 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes29c217.74$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.61,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes29c207$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.288530.6%26 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes28c202.83$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.772,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Yes28c201$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.72425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked Yes28c201$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+64.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes33c180.97$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.64452.3%23 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+37.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf79a…6112backed Yes30c177.05$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Yes28c177$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.441266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes35c165.19$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1073,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes46c151.3$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.76731.3%21 W · 46 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2605…2b17backed Yes40c150$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.39per pick41cpaid+90.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked No63c145.02$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.1110750.5%54 W · 53 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Yes28c138.07$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.252564%16 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+24.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c84…ac9abacked No73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda60…595cbacked Yes28c136.07$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.971127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes70c130.28$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9612065%78 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed Yes26c127.02$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.6313814.5%20 W · 118 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No72c124.46$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.611,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd179…361ebacked Yes25c121.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.62060%12 W · 8 L+5.5wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+82.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Yes42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.056657.6%38 W · 28 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+21.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd5a1…79afbacked Yes28c117.86$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.86742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No69c107.04$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9147756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No53c103.49$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.511,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88a0…f673backed Yes28c103$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.16650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+34.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes28c100.81$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.815444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No72c100.53$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.021,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Yes28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7210331.1%32 W · 71 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee6…1678backed Yes36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+44.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Yes27c98.8$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.12666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+47%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No52c97.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2749449%242 W · 252 L+22.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No65c95.01$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3594848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc8…47d0backed Yes29c95$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.45966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+29.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd87e…20ebbacked No73c94.93$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.31154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Yes28c90$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.85554.5%30 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Yes28c83$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.76728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Yes28c83$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.76650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Yes34c82.65$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.93154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes29c80$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5718452.2%96 W · 88 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1508…5760backed Yes31c76.26$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.791464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+30%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x700f…a69bbacked Yes49c75.51$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.51616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-66%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f47…669fbacked Yes55c73.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.02450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No72c73$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.561,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed No73c66$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.182748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes30c65.81$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7535758%207 W · 150 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd38…93b1backed Yes25c56.19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.25850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+49.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8776…f2efbacked No73c54.79$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0831…2291backed Yes28c54.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.27250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes41c51.83$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8371619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Yes31c51.43$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.432962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+21.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.