TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8f47…669f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
26
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.84
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+285.4%+$127.73
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.72
Wichita State Shockers vs. Oklahoma State Cowboysbacked Wichita State Shockers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.63
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$6.02
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$19.25
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
All 8 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-58%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.38
Spread: Knicks (-19.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+68%+$13.27
Raptors vs. Sunsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 4 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-44.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Utahbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Blue Jackets vs. Islandersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Golden Knights vs. Starsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$6.75
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+52.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Madison Keysbacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$10.36
Miami Open: Tommy Paul vs Raphael Collignonbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+53.7%+$14.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$9.63
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 March 16-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$12.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$5.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.76
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.