South American Leagues · resolved market
Will EC Vitória win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf131bbac23e55e1baabe2a46f45ab47bc37c6f2496443cd235a1c8fd6bd931d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,688
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,688 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 68c | 3,948$2,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.17 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 33c | 2,435$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.22 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5d…4e58backed No | 63c | 1,079$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…92b3backed Yes | 37c | 767$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d8…4c30backed Yes | 37c | 720$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 4c | 488.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 29c | 416.36$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.21 | 113 | 23.9%27 W · 86 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…a539backed No | 63c | 408$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 69c | 384.71$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.98 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 52c | 323.59$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.87 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 6c | 303$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff67…a1c9backed Yes | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 30c | 278.25$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.68 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 78c | 271.35$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.81 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b41…764cbacked Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c2…fcbebacked No | 63c | 256$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 6c | 253.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 63c | 204.66$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.94 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x423c…25d5backed No | 15c | 192.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 53c | 164.75$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.97 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…990dbacked Yes | 37c | 163$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 73c | 157$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 44c | 136.42$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.68 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 62c | 134$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.47 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef6…e31abacked Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 78c | 123$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 23c | 118.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Yes | 77c | 110$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 76c | 106.54$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 39c | 99.86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed Yes | 73c | 95.4$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ceb…7fc8backed Yes | 37c | 93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 42c | 91.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 30c | 85.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 63c | 71.03$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…5847backed Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 63c | 66.63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed No | 39c | 64.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 38c | 62.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked No | 62c | 57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 60c | 57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 38c | 54.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Yes | 36c | 46.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4213…6940backed No | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 69c | 44.72$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed No | 35c | 43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…c558backed No | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 35c | 38.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 63c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked No | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ad…4eebbacked Yes | 73c | 29.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 107 | 67.3%72 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f47…669fbacked Yes | 75c | 26.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Yes | 73c | 25.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed Yes | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…8010backed Yes | 51c | 21.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370c…3eb1backed Yes | 67c | 17.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed Yes | 68c | 17.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafeb…5cd2backed Yes | 66c | 16.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will EC Vitória win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will EC Vitória vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-03-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.