TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will FC Nantes win on 2026-03-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$132,823

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,823 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked No74c18,198$13,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,744.296952.2%36 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes26c14,019$3,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,637.5152550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes42c12,696$5,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,381.781,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No74c11,478$8,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,984.184459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No44c10,760$4,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,056.9771140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Yes26c10,599$2,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,755.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes59c9,268$5,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,479.9237638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No74c8,628$6,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,243.246553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes26c8,238$2,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,136.5687344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Yes26c6,652$1,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,729.521717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.22per pick40cpaid-65.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No75c5,000$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,25014346.9%67 W · 76 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes26c3,252$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.4115455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes24c2,782$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.3762648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed No31c2,420$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,669.521566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+36.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed Yes48c1,667$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-43.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked No53c1,445$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.172352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes25c1,353$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.8720150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Yes26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes20c999.97$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1962123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No74c977.83$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.3638056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes26c968$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.6817043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed No53c946.12$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.629641.7%40 W · 56 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Yes27c822.66$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.062725.9%7 W · 20 L-4.7wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-46.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xce49…af42backed No75c687.68$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1f3…e4a1backed No75c687$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.75475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+39.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No58c649.39$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.831,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2363…b0e8backed Yes68c573.53$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3902240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed No30c544.98$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.251330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c17…0458backed Yes26c532.96$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No78c516.48$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.639558.9%56 W · 39 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes24c386.16$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.258434.5%29 W · 55 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34f6…eab4backed No52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.621258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked No78c384.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.621872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc079…8accbacked No73c380$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.63627.8%10 W · 26 L-5.6wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes25c373.88$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4728448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked No31c362$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.784420.5%9 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes59c345.77$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.2815071.3%107 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No61c332.95$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.1426046.2%120 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf438…de5dbacked Yes16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501811.1%2 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-57.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5818…39e2backed No74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+93.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No41c300$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17718847.9%90 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes25c291.29$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8212957.4%74 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No33c240.75$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.2413246.2%61 W · 71 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked No74c238$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes38c203.78$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9145233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1002…1ef5backed No50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22af…399abacked Yes24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-58.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes26c196.17$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5114247.9%68 W · 74 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes26c174.49$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4826041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Yes26c171.07$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.23154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes40c167.55$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5417251.2%88 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked No75c160.65$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.163568.6%24 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed No44c150.5$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.51650%8 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes25c138$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8846450.4%234 W · 230 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ad9…b9f7backed Yes26c136.62$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.521250%6 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+34%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x150c…add3backed No75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Yes25c117.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.779256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked No75c113$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No73c110$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.73554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254676.1%35 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick71cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6e2…c751backed No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253070%21 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes40c98.44$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3635037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2b0…2222backed Yes13c94.25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed No74c92.31$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.783554.3%19 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked No55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.915052%26 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09d3…3128backed Yes25c87.48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.871533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf3d…fd74backed Yes62c86.17$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.591838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-24.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x88a0…f673backed No74c84$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.84683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+49.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No41c83.03$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.184770.2%33 W · 14 L+7.7wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+61.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked No39c83.03$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6524051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes30c82.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5810938.5%42 W · 67 L-11.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-40.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe592…691abacked Yes46c78.25$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.77742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked No40c77.74$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.751764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+21.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes58c69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.916242%68 W · 94 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6070…88a8backed No39c68.36$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.481338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes24c67.78$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1617817.4%31 W · 147 L-16.2wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-34.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc9d2…090fbacked Yes25c67.59$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.62560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9900…ffacbacked Yes46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-63.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes26c63.57$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5323342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No54c62.6$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1115951.6%82 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Yes27c61.11$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.51747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Yes24c58.66$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.086360.3%38 W · 25 L+9.2wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+39.8%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x956f…b868backed Yes33c58.55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.15333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No59c58.44$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9626660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Yes50c58$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293228.1%9 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-48%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed No75c58$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.55100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+87.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed No53c57.9$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.219447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Yes61c56.42$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.387766.2%51 W · 26 L+10.7wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+27.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x57a6…44edbacked No75c53.83$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.463948.7%19 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Yes68c51.85$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.21955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+59.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed Yes25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.510855.6%60 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.520454.4%111 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Yes26c48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5414057.1%80 W · 60 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94bb…6807backed No75c47$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.753100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+86.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe574…1b45backed No30c46.5$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+67.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Yes26c46.15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126248.4%30 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked No41c45$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.552360.9%14 W · 9 L+4.6wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+54.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes57c44.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0626040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3afe…fbbdbacked Yes27c41.93$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.