TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will FC Nantes vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,648

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,648 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No44c12,160$5,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,754.941,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes28c8,773$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5002321.7%5 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-51.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes63c8,427$5,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,295.511,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No73c6,653$4,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,796.421957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes27c5,827$1,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,580.9952550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No72c5,823$4,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,606.3971140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes27c3,869$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.587344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6580…6fa8backed Yes27c2,600$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7021926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No79c1,913$1,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.3615071.3%107 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes38c1,312$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.7726660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Yes38c1,166$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.082548%12 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No38c1,057$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.6562648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes28c1,000$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2757227.8%20 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No72c932.45$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.9238056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No62c894.99$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.326346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No57c871.41$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.1726040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes27c783.33$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.752123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No72c715.56$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.0529949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No70c593.7$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.3610938.5%42 W · 67 L-11.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-40.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No73c540$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.821144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes27c535$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.4528448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x88b1…3678backed Yes28c533$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed No35c530.39$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.382240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Yes39c530$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.71540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b71…4e79backed Yes38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14011725.6%30 W · 87 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes47c465.29$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.5517251.2%88 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf277…9a5fbacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe980…57c9backed Yes38c369.35$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+52.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80b4…a52ebacked No38c362.18$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.182123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Yes38c334$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8882…c67dbacked No62c333.21$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.52666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fcd…445ebacked Yes20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick15cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79fb…c230backed Yes20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60825%2 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57f7…ae57backed Yes20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601030%3 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick17cpaid+179.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No60c291$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.6916242%68 W · 94 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd705…c09abacked Yes39c282.35$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes22c272.26$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.915649.4%77 W · 79 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes27c250$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.526041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes42c243.44$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.313246.2%61 W · 71 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3187…9476backed Yes38c226.19$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Yes38c201$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+42.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xafc4…daa1backed Yes21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421822.2%4 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick15cpaid+282.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked Yes21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421010%1 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick18cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c69…51cabacked Yes29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+77.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No59c199.26$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.2118155.2%100 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No62c165$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.74330.2%13 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbc15…3a2ebacked No63c158.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.39666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+30.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes27c157.15$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.988434.5%29 W · 55 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes27c155$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8520150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf16…9c6fbacked Yes39c151.54$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+86.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes27c150$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.523342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca93…df79backed Yes67c148.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3725…c8a3backed Yes38c145.05$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e58…fb5abacked Yes39c140$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d3…8a20backed Yes25c134$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.28650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-29.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes80c125$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005366%35 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No30c116.09$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1717817.4%31 W · 147 L-16.2wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-34.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x172b…e2cdbacked Yes66c113.61$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2922340.8%91 W · 132 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed No25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+89.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed No72c99.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282564%16 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a1b…2758backed Yes28c89.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x464c…4632backed Yes37c88.11$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No74c86.49$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.491580%12 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No55c80.66$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1418847.9%90 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No74c80$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.24858.3%28 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9720…2c24backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.21566.7%10 W · 5 L+5.7wins+0.38per pick29cpaid+134.5%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes62c78.79$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4635650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No73c78.63$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.232955.2%16 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes27c73.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8145233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x669d…3a77backed Yes38c68$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.84250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No72c67.49$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2135157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c65…6b11backed Yes76c65.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No75c60.85$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.239558.9%56 W · 39 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa146…1d57backed No73c57.77$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick71cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb196…33d5backed No73c57.67$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.579661.5%59 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1465…9f10backed No70c57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.11181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick70cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56c2…abcbbacked No74c54.05$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.05988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick62cpaid+44.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a67…52edbacked Yes28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea81…ef51backed Yes39c51.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed No73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.510855.6%60 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce0…6599backed Yes21c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51136.4%4 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.22per pick14cpaid+535.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No73c49.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.520454.4%111 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No57c49.14$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9115951.6%82 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef8f…78febacked Yes27c49.04$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-30.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b67…e889backed Yes40c48.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.61136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5f…d445backed Yes28c47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ad…8dddbacked No33c46.4$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.91931.6%6 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes36c46$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.43070%21 W · 9 L+5.7wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+36.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked No72c45$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.67853.8%42 W · 36 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe89a…467ebacked No73c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2225…1838backed Yes39c38.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No72c35.07$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8212957.4%74 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Yes38c35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x907d…2c9bbacked Yes38c35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+50.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed No73c33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9110960.6%66 W · 43 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No62c32.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4135037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x030d…8e95backed Yes39c32.39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.651127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-59.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x956b…7dffbacked Yes63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.