TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$303,187

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $303,187 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Yes46c109,364$50,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,152.646952.2%36 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No54c39,010$21,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,065.372842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No54c31,556$17,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,040944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+61.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No53c25,421$13,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,582.0952550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd684…f320backed Yes49c24,000$11,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,239.984045%18 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No54c17,950$9,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,6933351.5%17 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+28.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No66c13,765$9,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,015.941,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No54c12,986$7,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,012.445040%20 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+12.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes46c11,975$5,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,466.492321.7%5 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-51.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed No54c9,259$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Yes46c7,000$3,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7806553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No51c6,714$3,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,424.014447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No51c6,000$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,06012839.8%51 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No46c5,560$2,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,584.591,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb148…9355backed Yes47c5,319$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,819.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked No51c4,291$2,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,188.411464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked No51c4,064$2,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,072.481163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No54c3,476$1,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,875.2887344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes47c2,834$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,494.199558.9%56 W · 39 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c04…a5c1backed Yes46c2,783$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,502.61633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed No54c2,627$1,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,417.21050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No53c2,550$1,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,351.52944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes48c2,391$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.0623250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9948…47e7backed Yes14c2,283$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,970.842100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+344.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes12c2,207$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,936.3562648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed No52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08013348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked No53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.9860%0 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed No51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fcf…80acbacked Yes46c1,900$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.131250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No53c1,890$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.943948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No51c1,534$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.261546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes50c1,502$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7519458.5%55 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.832352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No53c1,063$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.8928448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes20c999.99$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.992123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes21c999.74$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.795747.4%27 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes46c980.96$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.229949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes47c944.32$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.496141%25 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe05d…b812backed Yes49c938.78$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.78475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+42.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes23c899.81$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.0871140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes23c869.57$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.5711725.6%30 W · 87 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No53c847.09$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.4538056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cc9…f0b3backed Yes12c842.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.31428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick36cpaid+21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fd0…3373backed Yes24c833.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.331154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes49c800$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4084751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ad9…b9f7backed Yes35c757.21$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.91250%6 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+34%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No54c700$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3783961.5%24 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No76c698$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.167060%42 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba1…1703backed Yes9c677.78$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.783721.6%8 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed No52c600$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3121233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf797…37ccbacked Yes47c583$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes46c543.48$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.484632.6%15 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes43c526.4$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.49447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde80…d8b9backed Yes40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes25c500$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3757227.8%20 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes79c480$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.115071.3%107 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed No51c430$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.31070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+36.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes47c401$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.532433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No51c375.03$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.2720150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7d2…3287backed Yes11c350$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.51030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid+33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No50c336.02$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.0121144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc190…02aebacked Yes50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1503655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed No53c280.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+24.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Yes47c280.13$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.473554.3%19 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb4…d481backed Yes49c261$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.111384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.4wins+0.34per pick51cpaid+65.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x95c8…3469backed Yes40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1506155.7%34 W · 27 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes33c241.63$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.637632.9%25 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes39c235.9$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.92857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+37.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Yes35c229.81$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.122334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No53c219.73$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.1126041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b41…764cbacked Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.39475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+52.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x486b…2eaabacked Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.392948.3%14 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No53c210$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.34252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Yes47c208$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No66c207.07$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.9517251.2%88 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Yes78c205$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.454100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.088247.6%39 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa89e…431dbacked Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.08933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No57c200.6$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.5718155.2%100 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafc4…daa1backed No21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421822.2%4 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick15cpaid+282.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked No21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421010%1 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick18cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes24c199.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1524431.8%14 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes12c199.98$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.986529.2%19 W · 46 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Yes26c192.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.316245.2%28 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked No51c191.69$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.76757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+37.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked No54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+37.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed No54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed No54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+45.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Yes40c175$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051020%2 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-57.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8142…f311backed Yes36c168.48$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.295352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7583…0469backed No54c166.67$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No54c161.12$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.589256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x455b…ae12backed Yes44c157.67$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+86.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x423c…25d5backed Yes20c150$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick19cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Yes46c141.34$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.334459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x66dc…5456backed Yes47c134$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.023100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+88.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5818…39e2backed Yes47c133$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.494100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+93.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes48c132$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.6433148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88a0…f673backed Yes47c131$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.43683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+49.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.