Asian League · resolved market
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15fb9b260a2f241ae071f0b1aaca9bfbbacbe131abfb03b82fc9db69812e67f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,287 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 68c | 2,186$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.35 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Yes | 69c | 1,734$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.62 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 33c | 1,247$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.95 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 27c | 1,198$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.63 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Yes | 69c | 1,043$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.37 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed No | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 36c | 650.62$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.15 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 33c | 582.41$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.88 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 72c | 344.9$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.27 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…859cbacked Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebc…8b41backed Yes | 67c | 267.49$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.27 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 17c | 252.56$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.91 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked No | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked No | 41c | 109.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed No | 33c | 92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 15c | 88.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 32c | 82.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed No | 32c | 81.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 33c | 67.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba6…2a7ebacked No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa9…5da8backed Yes | 68c | 44.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed No | 35c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f47…669fbacked Yes | 67c | 29.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Seoul win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will FC Seoul vs. Gwangju FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Gwangju FC win on 2026-03-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.