TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-19.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Wizards
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$559,704

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $559,704 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 564 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd64…7445backed Knicks54c75,500$40,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,7303366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x43b6…9a9bbacked Wizards41c53,890$22,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,186.255030%15 W · 35 L-6.0wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Knicks58c33,472$19,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,049.421,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d12…590ebacked Knicks54c31,086$16,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,299.567100%7 W · 0 L+3.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x89c4…c922backed Knicks54c29,965$16,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,783.9887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.33per pick54cpaid+64.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3515…257dbacked Wizards46c25,146$11,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,567.16771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+42.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Knicks71c20,929$14,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,093.464,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Knicks59c19,881$11,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,203.631,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7a3…b13dbacked Wizards46c19,532$8,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,984.72475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+53.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8349…6b7ebacked Knicks54c17,760$9,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,169.61275%9 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+48.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x50a8…c523backed Knicks54c17,196$9,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,910.164100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xacc8…bca6backed Wizards46c16,908$7,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,777.68757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x064c…ef68backed Knicks54c15,692$8,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,218.321361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks59c14,884$8,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,122.814,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Wizards32c14,696$4,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,680.452,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x545c…3b68backed Knicks54c11,293$6,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,194.78977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.27per pick50cpaid+52.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa20a…2df1backed Wizards46c9,632$4,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,430.72875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+50.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd68…9c20backed Wizards46c9,629$4,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,429.34862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9517…9928backed Knicks54c8,959$4,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,121.141050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…925ebacked Wizards46c8,469$3,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,895.74475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+60.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb43…fc3cbacked Knicks54c7,764$4,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,571.441070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+38.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84de…82d4backed Knicks54c7,332$3,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,372.72771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+41.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Wizards49c7,223$3,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5171,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6209…0e66backed Wizards46c6,486$2,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,983.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x307d…cdcbbacked Knicks54c5,869$3,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,699.74580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+106.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e1e…bb68backed Knicks54c5,578$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,578.379556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8da…142abacked Wizards46c5,139$2,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,363.94250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fb7…f2e4backed Wizards46c5,061$2,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,328.06333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60bf…fe4fbacked Wizards46c5,047$2,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,321.62450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd84f…0f22backed Wizards46c5,038$2,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,317.48450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38fc…ee9dbacked Wizards46c5,004$2,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,301.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e19…9addbacked Wizards46c4,996$2,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,298.16475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+59.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf165…ffb6backed Wizards46c4,965$2,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,283.9475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+54.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe418…ea28backed Wizards46c4,959$2,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,281.14250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc9b…00f2backed Wizards46c4,952$2,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,277.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3573…c27cbacked Wizards46c4,950$2,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,277333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe915…6799backed Wizards46c4,950$2,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,277475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+59.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47e4…02fbbacked Wizards46c4,917$2,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,261.82666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x59e2…964ebacked Wizards46c4,853$2,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,232.38250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55e4…7c67backed Wizards46c4,775$2,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,196.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x506f…a724backed Wizards46c4,766$2,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,192.36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1be…2db6backed Wizards46c4,686$2,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,155.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7684…fd00backed Wizards46c4,672$2,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,149.12475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+57.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51c5…10ccbacked Wizards46c4,663$2,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,144.98666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22ac…16b7backed Wizards46c4,663$2,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,144.98425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f1…bc6ebacked Wizards46c4,637$2,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,133.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cea…73e0backed Wizards46c4,603$2,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,117.38650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52e2…6684backed Wizards46c4,594$2,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,113.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6445…5870backed Wizards46c4,563$2,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,098.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cc9…1ee4backed Wizards46c4,547$2,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,091.62250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ccb…a837backed Wizards46c4,540$2,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,088.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4ca…75f9backed Wizards46c4,501$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,070.46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c47…be8ebacked Wizards46c4,499$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,069.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1fd…c965backed Wizards46c4,498$2,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,069.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf507…4121backed Wizards46c4,458$2,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,050.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xced2…940fbacked Wizards46c4,445$2,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,044.7475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+54.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98a3…fbd6backed Wizards46c4,435$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,040.1250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x662c…b3eebacked Wizards46c4,429$2,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,037.34250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6041…0f61backed Wizards46c4,425$2,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,035.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x127e…60f1backed Wizards46c4,407$2,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,027.22250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd7f…7949backed Wizards46c4,395$2,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,021.7771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+38.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58c0…9f54backed Wizards46c4,357$2,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,004.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89fd…3526backed Knicks54c4,319$2,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,986.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8ca…3870backed Knicks54c4,300$2,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,978560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf95d…de12backed Knicks54c4,293$2,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,974.78450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf93c…06c4backed Knicks54c4,284$2,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,970.64450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fda…46e0backed Wizards46c4,280$1,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,968.8450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9357…5f70backed Wizards46c4,273$1,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,965.58862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b44…1eebbacked Wizards46c4,271$1,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,964.66560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eb8…5703backed Knicks54c4,270$2,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,964.2875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+42.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fa1…2b5cbacked Knicks54c4,267$2,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,962.82666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+31.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2fd…971dbacked Wizards46c4,261$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,960.06250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9af…0fb2backed Wizards46c4,255$1,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,957.3250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d9…7d07backed Knicks54c4,236$2,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,948.56633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e7c…6bdbbacked Wizards46c4,235$1,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,948.1955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb33a…877ebacked Wizards46c4,221$1,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,941.66333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b26…9f5fbacked Wizards46c4,174$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,920.04450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x995e…125dbacked Wizards46c4,147$1,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,907.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe08a…7e1ebacked Knicks54c4,147$2,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,907.62580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+51.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ecf…4ed7backed Knicks54c4,141$2,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,904.86955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb59…d723backed Knicks54c4,135$2,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,902.1560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6e6…9e11backed Knicks54c4,114$2,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,892.44540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca64…4ac6backed Knicks54c4,113$2,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,891.98540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e0…4d15backed Knicks54c4,112$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,891.521154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf993…9d87backed Knicks54c4,045$2,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,860.7977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.34per pick44cpaid+61.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4884…3f7bbacked Knicks54c4,033$2,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,855.18540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-23%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aba…4961backed Wizards32c4,033$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,290.57150.7%36 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x251c…c534backed Knicks54c4,021$2,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,849.66966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x039c…b202backed Wizards42c4,019$1,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,687.922835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Wizards34c3,956$1,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,342.032,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23d2…5f41backed Knicks54c3,947$2,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,815.62771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+39.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a1d…a465backed Knicks54c3,933$2,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,809.18683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick50cpaid+69%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3ca7…8dd3backed Knicks54c3,906$2,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,796.76450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10f0…841bbacked Knicks54c3,904$2,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,795.841258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8833…b161backed Knicks54c3,870$2,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,780.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb374…4957backed Knicks54c3,845$2,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,768.7862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+28.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa34a…8da9backed Knicks54c3,778$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.88757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+11.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc333…526abacked Knicks54c3,777$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.42560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dc6…e64cbacked Knicks54c3,757$2,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,728.22666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa5…4aa7backed Knicks54c3,740$2,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,720.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.