TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-20.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Wizards
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$177,101

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,101 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Knicks57c85,811$48,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,977.551,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Wizards43c65,719$28,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,258.9772648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards43c40,531$17,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,579.434,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Knicks50c23,287$11,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,643.6532653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Knicks57c22,832$13,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,817.761,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Wizards44c15,572$6,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,851.8626544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Wizards50c8,559$4,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,279.531643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb838…d713backed Knicks51c6,884$3,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,363.38875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+54%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks56c5,213$2,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,276.184,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Knicks56c4,389$2,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,931.18154.3%44 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Wizards50c4,329$2,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,146.619,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bee…a369backed Wizards50c3,960$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9808148.1%39 W · 42 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Knicks54c3,500$1,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,615.0460351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Wizards50c2,198$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,09970246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks59c2,088$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8588,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Wizards45c1,975$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.676939.1%27 W · 42 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Wizards47c1,824$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.745,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Wizards50c1,650$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82556043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x91f7…4767backed Wizards49c1,628$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.8110651.9%55 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Knicks57c1,491$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.2365349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Wizards47c1,448$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.862,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Wizards51c1,088$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.8820647.6%98 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Wizards39c1,009$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.121,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Wizards50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017349.7%86 W · 87 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Wizards48c956.12$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.942,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Knicks55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.0915952.8%84 W · 75 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Wizards46c898.46$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.292,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Wizards44c887.9$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.7220638.3%79 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards51c726.8$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.314,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9385…2484backed Wizards47c646.4$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.819352.7%49 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Wizards45c610.83$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.593,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Knicks55c549$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.051,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Knicks53c518.77$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.821,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Knicks53c425$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.7545151.4%232 W · 219 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Knicks51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19684150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Knicks58c363.95$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.411,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c67…a0e0backed Knicks53c285.23$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.2329646.6%138 W · 158 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x354f…95f8backed Knicks55c260.89$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.48763.2%55 W · 32 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Wizards45c255.37$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.735,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf3d…fd74backed Knicks63c228.63$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.541145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2144…0a81backed Wizards45c226.67$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+29.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xed18…1defbacked Knicks45c220.45$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.451361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.22per pick40cpaid+77.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Wizards45c214.29$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.713,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Wizards48c204.14$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9987453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Wizards56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11231354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb69…c773backed Wizards51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013148.9%64 W · 67 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc8…47d0backed Knicks56c180$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.28342.2%35 W · 48 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Knicks54c139$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9427455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Wizards51c137.25$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7072250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdae4…f1fcbacked Knicks56c133.6$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9219054.7%104 W · 86 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Wizards46c130.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6091846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Wizards42c120$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.413536.3%49 W · 86 L-0.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Knicks49c119.27$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.511,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Knicks56c117.7$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.181,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Wizards47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9476552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Knicks49c106$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0622154.8%121 W · 100 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Wizards49c104.54$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2753339.6%211 W · 322 L-39.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a96…b382backed Knicks56c102$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.887350.7%37 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Knicks37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6322850.9%116 W · 112 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Wizards51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5178648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Knicks53c99.54$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4958450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Wizards47c91.26$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.722,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Knicks53c78.02$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.33,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Wizards39c76.4$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Wizards50c72.4$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.295047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Wizards47c67.71$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1637845%170 W · 208 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Wizards44c64.38$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.551,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb39b…14c9backed Wizards46c63$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.984240.5%17 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Wizards45c62$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.923946.4%111 W · 128 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8778…83b5backed Wizards45c61.51$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.688653.5%46 W · 40 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Wizards53c60.38$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Wizards49c59.42$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1260945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca40…83f6backed Knicks54c58.57$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9412945.7%59 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c48…6af3backed Wizards45c58.49$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.327445.9%34 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd077…46c0backed Wizards47c58$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.264447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2841…3c5abacked Wizards43c56.17$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3221349.3%105 W · 108 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41c0…9d61backed Knicks54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5612155.4%67 W · 54 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d34…5cf7backed Wizards46c54.24$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.95650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Wizards42c52.27$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.071,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xc03a…d7c4backed Wizards48c50.51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.246342.9%27 W · 36 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Knicks52c50.37$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2391746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Knicks21c50$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.523649.2%116 W · 120 L+28.6wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+27.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x28ad…9805backed Wizards44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2222942.8%98 W · 131 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Wizards48c46.68$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.213,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03eb…47b0backed Wizards50c44.55$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2719851%101 W · 97 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Wizards37c42.76$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.651,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef92…f133backed Knicks55c41.46$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.512055.8%67 W · 53 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Knicks56c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.687049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9094…dcabbacked Knicks54c38.7$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.823655.5%131 W · 105 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8614…ffc6backed Wizards46c36.96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Knicks53c36.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1289048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5dc…0f05backed Knicks57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.095742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x891d…b19fbacked Knicks54c35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.18251.2%42 W · 40 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x277f…5f26backed Wizards44c34.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+40.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Knicks54c33.55$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5816947.3%80 W · 89 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Knicks53c32.75$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2530453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Knicks53c31.09$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6157650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Knicks56c29.65$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0590357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13f4…48c6backed Wizards53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513852.9%73 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf197…6b21backed Wizards53c28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.844963.3%31 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.