NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-18.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d215438b41dbe25559cac6060f7ffc6855e35766a7f3390ed34e124437d7cf3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Knicks, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,620
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,620 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6f9…b25abacked Knicks | 57c | 2,424$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6c…344cbacked Wizards | 43c | 2,148$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e92…5382backed Knicks | 57c | 2,043$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d53…6622backed Wizards | 43c | 2,036$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Wizards | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Knicks | 58c | 2,000$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.72 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa13b…6b65backed Knicks | 57c | 1,987$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…01eebacked Wizards | 43c | 1,955$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb6…38b6backed Wizards | 43c | 1,783$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2d…2212backed Knicks | 57c | 1,471$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks | 61c | 1,116$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.09 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Knicks | 56c | 625.75$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.98 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5b…e58abacked Wizards | 44c | 450$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Wizards | 26c | 346.16$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.18 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wizards | 44c | 314.92$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.49 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Wizards | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Wizards | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Wizards | 39c | 179.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.65 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Knicks | 57c | 129$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.47 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e7…258dbacked Wizards | 44c | 128$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae1…76e4backed Knicks | 57c | 122$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Wizards | 32c | 111.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 41c | 104.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.29 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…fef1backed Knicks | 57c | 104$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb841…1055backed Wizards | 44c | 101$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x451f…7301backed Knicks | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Knicks | 61c | 96$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde51…b01ebacked Wizards | 46c | 94.55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wizards | 33c | 93.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Knicks | 60c | 88.44$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Knicks | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards | 42c | 77.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Wizards | 40c | 73.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Knicks | 59c | 67.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed Knicks | 60c | 66.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Wizards | 34c | 63.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d34…5cf7backed Wizards | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards | 39c | 56.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Wizards | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Wizards | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2841…3c5abacked Knicks | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 213 | 49.3%105 W · 108 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Wizards | 42c | 49.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Knicks | 79c | 49.09$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Wizards | 41c | 46.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…0f05backed Wizards | 41c | 39.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wizards | 39c | 38.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60d…03a8backed Knicks | 58c | 34.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Knicks | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8410…9713backed Wizards | 44c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Knicks | 69c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 532 | 50.4%268 W · 264 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Wizards | 41c | 28.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Knicks | 59c | 26.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Knicks | 56c | 25.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Knicks | 80c | 25.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…ba97backed Wizards | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…ffc6backed Wizards | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…5760backed Knicks | 59c | 22.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e4…f926backed Knicks | 57c | 22.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Knicks | 60c | 21.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9381…9ae2backed Knicks | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd79…3635backed Knicks | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b34…14a9backed Wizards | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Knicks | 58c | 17.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 400 | 48.3%193 W · 207 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-18.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Knicks won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Knicks (-19.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-20.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-21.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-22.5)Knicks won
- Wizards vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Wizards vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Wizards vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Knicks: O/U 226.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Knicks: O/U 227.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Knicks: O/U 229.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.