Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 March 16-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2de191c02975a23a990005fac782ecb2e61249c90d946f6adbd1b13f2bfa4ff5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $434,544
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $434,544 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 49c | 26,151$12,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,335.85 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 26c | 24,374$6,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,048.66 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…0988backed Yes | 50c | 20,850$10,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,489.38 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…84abbacked No | 47c | 14,181$6,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,655.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x100d…1baabacked No | 0c | 11,539$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc861…63afbacked No | 79c | 6,455$5,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,098.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9567…e505backed No | 60c | 6,446$3,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,890.95 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1f…7631backed No | 55c | 5,662$3,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,093.01 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…484dbacked Yes | 38c | 5,589$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,453.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe5…8e3dbacked Yes | 56c | 5,195$2,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,285.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0070…0414backed Yes | 38c | 4,987$1,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,087.97 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0e…96ddbacked Yes | 30c | 4,734$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,303.26 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -92.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe228…1f4cbacked Yes | 38c | 4,501$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,781.59 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…251ebacked Yes | 38c | 4,282$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,635.3 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 42c | 3,236$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886.1 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb148…bb0ebacked Yes | 67c | 3,113$2,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.96 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…1532backed No | 52c | 2,636$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e2…b6cbbacked Yes | 30c | 2,511$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.38 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7f…2352backed Yes | 32c | 2,060$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.36 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 33c | 1,940$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.46 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…64b0backed Yes | 53c | 1,839$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.87 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 16c | 1,800$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 241 | 7.1%17 W · 224 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a6…8b32backed No | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 72c | 1,357$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.9 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf921…be16backed Yes | 22c | 1,275$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.28 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 39c | 1,093$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.8 | 89 | 19.1%17 W · 72 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes | 73c | 1,075$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd722…0564backed Yes | 14c | 1,064$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4d…78f5backed Yes | 27c | 1,056$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.15 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6758…30e1backed No | 62c | 989.22$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.41 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed No | 56c | 972.5$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.58 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ff…d3bfbacked Yes | 21c | 939.27$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.03 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd14…1c17backed Yes | 40c | 894.87$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.43 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983e…c5cebacked Yes | 54c | 846.96$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…1fa8backed Yes | 29c | 825.49$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.54 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x616c…aab7backed No | 61c | 799.58$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d55…1ab7backed Yes | 26c | 788.52$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.11 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 23cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5342…d243backed No | 41c | 784.46$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.57 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f3…2822backed Yes | 40c | 728.4$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.04 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x247f…6749backed Yes | 66c | 714.87$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.06 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff2f…b07ebacked Yes | 30c | 654.84$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +232.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Yes | 40c | 617.71$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.33 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…3f1bbacked Yes | 55c | 593.85$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.55 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 44c | 526.16$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.14 | 81 | 16%13 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c2…67a3backed Yes | 51c | 522.38$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.97 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 14c | 505.96$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.8 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 42c | 502.53$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.45 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 12c | 499.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.99 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 20cpaid | +57%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf274…37f4backed Yes | 12c | 468$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.15 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 20c | 434.07$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.55 | 136 | 24.3%33 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65c2…c1e1backed No | 47c | 412.33$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…9160backed No | 47c | 401.29$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ce…6da0backed Yes | 50c | 386.54$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.2 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 52c | 378.86$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.26 | 165 | 37.6%62 W · 103 L | -21.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 8c | 375.41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.62 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db5…fa3ebacked Yes | 39c | 373.65$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…8d91backed Yes | 8c | 361.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33fb…897cbacked Yes | 24c | 353.25$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.59 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x744f…5f3dbacked Yes | 29c | 350.87$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.12 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ae…09edbacked No | 53c | 346.29$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5655…cad4backed Yes | 39c | 344.67$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.91 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fa…733dbacked No | 26c | 332.34$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.97 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 38c | 321.68$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.42 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe547…5fb5backed No | 61c | 319.45$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…be7abacked Yes | 40c | 313.62$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.11 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…8003backed Yes | 22c | 299.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.99 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d95…ad25backed No | 77c | 280.04$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Yes | 67c | 266.86$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.87 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75ea…1616backed No | 47c | 260.97$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.91 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb614…2a44backed Yes | 22c | 250.13$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.39per pick | 41cpaid | +124.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0d…1fa6backed Yes | 60c | 246.26$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…9a1abacked No | 41c | 236.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.07 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ad…b913backed Yes | 63c | 231.63$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c3…9962backed Yes | 40c | 229.11$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…0acabacked No | 23c | 223.03$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.63 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067a…404cbacked Yes | 54c | 211.5$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab0e…4393backed Yes | 51c | 209.98$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20c…3305backed Yes | 65c | 203.53$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 8c | 202.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 137 | 3.6%5 W · 132 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7eb…eb13backed No | 25c | 201.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 40c | 200.75$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.58 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf648…05c7backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…acb6backed Yes | 9c | 200$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 179 | 2.2%4 W · 175 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…927bbacked Yes | 9c | 200$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 167 | 2.4%4 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9951…8644backed Yes | 17c | 199.96$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eeb…c3d7backed Yes | 32c | 195.27$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.78 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5379…a031backed Yes | 37c | 172.97$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.65 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…a1c4backed Yes | 56c | 152.58$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef39…423bbacked Yes | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…78dfbacked No | 40c | 147.41$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.29 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4453…b560backed Yes | 43c | 135.89$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a54…2446backed Yes | 74c | 132.06$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1b…4eddbacked Yes | 27c | 124.63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.4 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d541backed No | 67c | 123.76$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x025f…25cfbacked Yes | 19c | 122.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.72 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8b…aa2fbacked Yes | 39c | 118.97$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1f…222bbacked Yes | 66c | 114.02$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd946…4de6backed Yes | 22c | 107.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +265.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…aacbbacked Yes | 73c | 104.4$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b2…da22backed Yes | 44c | 103.51$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 March 16-22?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 March 16-22?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 March 16-22?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 16-22?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 March 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 March 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 March 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 March 16-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.