Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 16-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdc0b60e523889a9af3a71141c1061bd34163c5fa003790fb2924b91f5d0250b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $239,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $239,386 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde17…0988backed No | 79c | 20,922$16,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,473.53 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes | 2c | 17,823$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.31 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe5…8e3dbacked Yes | 36c | 14,992$5,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,407.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ef…df7dbacked Yes | 1c | 13,828$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.17 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66be…65a8backed Yes | 3c | 9,067$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb392…fc73backed Yes | 8c | 8,987$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.05 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1f…7631backed No | 67c | 8,190$5,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,726.4 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes | 6c | 7,951$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.7 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 10cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e65…0303backed Yes | 2c | 4,239$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 3,957$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.1 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…251ebacked Yes | 6c | 3,252$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.96 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 0c | 2,916$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 197 | 0%0 W · 197 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…acb6backed Yes | 3c | 2,829$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 179 | 2.2%4 W · 175 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8a…9f2abacked Yes | 1c | 2,719$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…927bbacked Yes | 3c | 2,445$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.16 | 167 | 2.4%4 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7496…3962backed Yes | 3c | 2,302$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.48 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 5c | 1,889$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.66 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes | 21c | 1,888$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.54 | 142 | 13.4%19 W · 123 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 1c | 1,602$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 81 | 16%13 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc12a…dc73backed No | 61c | 1,560$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.51 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc366…73cebacked Yes | 5c | 1,453$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.61 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 4c | 1,373$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.83 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2b…315fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,340$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 4c | 1,300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e2…b6cbbacked Yes | 30c | 1,226$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.14 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf49d…3c3bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,153$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8693…31cdbacked Yes | 2c | 1,133$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 1c | 962.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f3…2822backed Yes | 21c | 943.59$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.27 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…7a12backed No | 60c | 900$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…246ebacked No | 59c | 864$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.04 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…463bbacked Yes | 38c | 769.92$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.69 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…ce22backed Yes | 3c | 749.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 83 | 7.2%6 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd14…1c17backed Yes | 42c | 671.19$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.4 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81b…6ca9backed Yes | 3c | 599.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 30c | 526.65$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.94 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…11dfbacked Yes | 4c | 474.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e17…5aacbacked Yes | 41c | 469.13$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc56…f41fbacked No | 69c | 439.71$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Yes | 34c | 366.22$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.57 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c3…e26dbacked Yes | 3c | 362.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf70f…e32abacked Yes | 16c | 359.07$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.02 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 5c | 326.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 137 | 3.6%5 W · 132 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…2a81backed Yes | 10c | 298.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 33c | 295.62$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed No | 67c | 292.36$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.49 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb7…93c7backed No | 67c | 291.21$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.1 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0070…0414backed No | 68c | 290.8$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.99 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbecd…9df4backed Yes | 39c | 250.05$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92e1…cec0backed Yes | 6c | 248.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e93…0078backed Yes | 8c | 235.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8db5…fa3ebacked Yes | 8c | 222.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa705…8998backed No | 64c | 207.88$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.86 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93e5…a98cbacked Yes | 43c | 200.67$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeec…2776backed Yes | 31c | 195.42$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…20f7backed No | 57c | 193.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.42 | 100 | 67%67 W · 33 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cef…53f7backed Yes | 52c | 186.32$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82cb…f46dbacked No | 44c | 177.19$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 8c | 176$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2efb…fa14backed No | 44c | 163.42$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad6…34bfbacked Yes | 17c | 154.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a10…6f51backed No | 67c | 144.64$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d4…f1f5backed No | 74c | 125.91$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.28 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bb…cb45backed Yes | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe52d…3728backed No | 59c | 116.49$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.76 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…90a8backed Yes | 9c | 115.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 70c | 115.61$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.51 | 165 | 37.6%62 W · 103 L | -21.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…527ebacked Yes | 57c | 110.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.26 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 27c | 110.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 136 | 24.3%33 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf199…ab80backed Yes | 11c | 103.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…3964backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…7b2abacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5be2…8fa3backed No | 59c | 98.54$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc15…cc49backed No | 77c | 98.43$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1dd…a272backed Yes | 45c | 96.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 117 | 26.5%31 W · 86 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff6…4cb5backed Yes | 39c | 87.2$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa426…fa0dbacked No | 59c | 82.87$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.39 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +144.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked No | 46c | 81.73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.53 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 16c | 75.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5122…0af1backed Yes | 43c | 72.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d0…d5cebacked Yes | 42c | 70.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -59%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…be7abacked Yes | 34c | 64.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd08c…8a89backed No | 74c | 51.79$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbedc…225fbacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 29cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f92…db0dbacked Yes | 38c | 48.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2db…6865backed No | 57c | 48.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9112…7797backed Yes | 44c | 48.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f00…4654backed Yes | 31c | 43.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7141…de63backed No | 68c | 43.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1736…74ddbacked No | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae05…f5d1backed Yes | 39c | 38.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256e…1867backed No | 64c | 38.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e3…f08fbacked No | 68c | 35.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…1a26backed No | 61c | 31.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5784…0830backed No | 65c | 29.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe26a…bdfabacked No | 57c | 25.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7273…354ebacked Yes | 57c | 25.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ca…1f29backed No | 48c | 24.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a6…0e2dbacked No | 62c | 23.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe41e…fe84backed No | 79c | 19.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 16-22?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 March 16-22?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 March 16-22?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 March 16-22?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 16-22?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 March 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 March 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 March 16-22?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 March 16-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.