MLB · resolved market
Detroit Tigers vs. San Diego Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x780888d7b5fde42b34f952d12c64e2dc53b4694f68e36509d59607d45a8812c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Padresof Detroit Tigers, San Diego Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $369,744
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $382,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $369,744 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Detroit Tigers | 49c | 100,000$49,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,999.96 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Detroit Tigers | 0c | 69,394$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.33 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 49,914$25,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,466.81 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe5…b317backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 48,618$24,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 36,923$18,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,996.2 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 33,333$16,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,666.5 | 505 | 53.5%270 W · 235 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 15,202$7,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,454.09 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Detroit Tigers | 49c | 12,059$5,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,872.31 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 11,340$5,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,549 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 10,417$5,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,503.39 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked San Diego Padres | 58c | 9,898$5,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,188.08 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Detroit Tigers | 42c | 7,505$3,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,152.1 | 193 | 43.5%84 W · 109 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Detroit Tigers | 2c | 6,210$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Detroit Tigers | 51c | 6,161$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120.5 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Detroit Tigers | 48c | 5,345$2,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,565.52 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Detroit Tigers | 10c | 4,707$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.39 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 4,166$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.68 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…4569backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 3,480$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9007…2421backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 3,071$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.59 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 3,001$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.49 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.91 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Detroit Tigers | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.99 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4367…e904backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 2,342$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 2,323$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.5 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 2,227$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.82 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 2,076$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.24 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 2,039$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.22 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8861…4c2ebacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 1,919$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Tigers | 38c | 1,801$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.71 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 1,786$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 1,765$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.71 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Detroit Tigers | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.16 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Detroit Tigers | 30c | 1,632$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.43 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked San Diego Padres | 71c | 1,582$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.1 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 1,481$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.73 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked Detroit Tigers | 29c | 1,401$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 1,088$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Detroit Tigers | 3c | 1,037$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 1,021$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.29 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 971.39$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.7 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…4091backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 950$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -10.9wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 889.73$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.19 | 142 | 35.9%51 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…b386backed Detroit Tigers | 51c | 882.35$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Detroit Tigers | 51c | 801.1$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.06 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Detroit Tigers | 53c | 760$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.36 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 757.55$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.41 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 601.67$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.82 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked San Diego Padres | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Detroit Tigers | 2c | 537.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Detroit Tigers | 11c | 501.93$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.03 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…6e05backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 501.48$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.7 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked San Diego Padres | 55c | 429.09$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.09 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Detroit Tigers | 50c | 392.72$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.85 | 474 | 47.3%224 W · 250 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 384$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.84 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Detroit Tigers | 35c | 333.56$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.06 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Detroit Tigers | 27c | 313.34$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.72 | 548 | 15.9%87 W · 461 L | -41.1wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c18…ab90backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 305.39$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…d382backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 298.16$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.17 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed San Diego Padres | 79c | 250$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Detroit Tigers | 36c | 248.09$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 180 | 48.3%87 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Detroit Tigers | 29c | 246.62$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.67 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4666…3a55backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 245.1$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.96 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 236.88$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.18 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5706…514fbacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 223.53$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 215.38$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.38 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 205.88$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.88 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 203.92$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.92 | 478 | 49%234 W · 244 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,201 | 49.1%590 W · 611 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8b…95e3backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6598…5f36backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…d9f3backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d3…3128backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 189.4$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.7 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 160$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 157.47$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.47 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Detroit Tigers | 46c | 153.05$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 133.33$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.33 | 133 | 51.9%69 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x569f…7a96backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 132$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Detroit Tigers | 26c | 118.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Detroit Tigers | 50c | 115.3$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.16 | 1,055 | 50.3%531 W · 524 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Detroit Tigers | 21c | 114$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked San Diego Padres | 79c | 114$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0915…d08abacked Detroit Tigers | 49c | 110$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5668…eababacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked San Diego Padres | 64c | 107$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.02 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…f6afbacked Detroit Tigers | 21c | 106.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 310 | 32.9%102 W · 208 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.