TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5706…514f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst World Politics at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+131.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+2,103.1%+$1,299.66
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.2
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$47.68
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.42
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.51
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.63
Spread: Knicks (-16.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.96
Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.06
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.97
Spread: Hawks (-13.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+60.1%+$7.06
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.51
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+75.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+22.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Copa Colsanitas: Panna Udvardy vs Emiliana Arangobacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+179.2%+$47.67
Grand Prix Hassan II: Luciano Darderi vs Marco Trungellitibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.32
Bucharest Open: Mariano Navone vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.08
Credit One Charleston Open: McCartney Kessler vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.32
Sao Leopoldo: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Facundo Acostabacked Juan Pablo Varillas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.21
Barletta: Nerman Fatic vs Federico Bondiolibacked Federico Bondioli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.07
Grand Prix Hassan II: Rafael Jodar vs Tomas Machacbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.54
Barletta: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Maxime Chazalbacked Enrico Dalla Valle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$48.34
All 8 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick32cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+110.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$57.84
SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Detroit Tigers vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$109.53
Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-8.5)backed Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gaziantep FK vs. Alanyaspor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C or below on April 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-03-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.85
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.