MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x312e066011c8fd450d47157f02172edc94a854d1142cd584efe996d04a6c8645
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof Minnesota Twins, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $466,086
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $460,569
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $466,086 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 101,753$44,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,771.43 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 100,000$57,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,999.97 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 41,827$23,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,404.02 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 39,571$14,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,873.02 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 39,528$16,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,311.94 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 27,267$15,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,997.35 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 22,180$9,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,758.7 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 22,000$9,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,459.96 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 14,463$8,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,288.85 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 12,700$5,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,587.98 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 12,000$6,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,280 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 9,801$5,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,997.6 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 9,756$5,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,236.28 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 7,246$4,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,188.21 | 474 | 47.3%224 W · 250 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 5,180$2,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,196.15 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.99 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 3,760$2,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.81 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 3,195$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.76 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 3,022$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.54 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 2,632$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.58 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 2,180$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.48 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 2,177$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.25 | 230 | 48.7%112 W · 118 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 2,146$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.59 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 1,941$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.5 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 1,904$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.74 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 1,888$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.71 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 1,813$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.44 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 1,772$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.93 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 1,677$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.52 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 1,647$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.05 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Minnesota Twins | 37c | 1,620$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.41 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Minnesota Twins | 14c | 1,496$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.31 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…6e05backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 1,400$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 1,368$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.02 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 1,200$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.63 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 1,179$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.21 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e16…9719backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 1,112$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 996.13$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.34 | 849 | 49.1%417 W · 432 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 712$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.13 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 700$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…cabcbacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 680.57$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.26 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 585.25$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.2 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ce…0a8ebacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 570$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 563.9$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.87 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 560$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.4 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 535.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.62 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 534.04$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.33 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Baltimore Orioles | 66c | 531.93$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.34 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 500$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 484.36$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.36 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 470.12$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.85 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 470$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.1 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Minnesota Twins | 19c | 468.8$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.75 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3aed…7896backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 422.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Minnesota Twins | 11c | 410.42$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.28 | 548 | 15.9%87 W · 461 L | -41.1wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…1667backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 369.34$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Minnesota Twins | 12c | 355$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.65 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8742…5e43backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 349.4$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 345.84$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.63 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 333$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.85 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfba…80ebbacked Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 320.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.62 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…6af2backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 289$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.8 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 289$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.16 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 251.26$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.94 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 237.76$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.63 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 235$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…6dc0backed Minnesota Twins | 36c | 233.06$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 232.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.18 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 231.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.56 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b8…632abacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 225$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x268e…bb7fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 220$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…5169backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 204.48$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +10.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x038a…2188backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 190$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 183.23$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.65 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x025d…c171backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 182.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21fb…fd64backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…1483backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf89f…32b0backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -6.2wins | -0.28per pick | 55cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Under won
- NRFI: Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore OriolesYes won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.