MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8148caf325fb86376677cd509dd33f1e4aceb9024c709946b5213a6685c9384
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $161,897
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,897 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 50c | 59,017$29,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,220.38 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,000 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Under | 51c | 31,739$16,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,552.22 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 22,848$11,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,191.46 | 474 | 47.3%224 W · 250 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 19,216$9,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,672.13 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 51c | 15,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,400 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Under | 50c | 12,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 9,725$4,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,862.45 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Over | 50c | 7,878$3,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,939 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 50c | 6,196$3,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,091.13 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 3,377$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.87 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 51c | 2,884$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.42 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 48c | 2,111$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.23 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Under | 51c | 2,108$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.84 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 1,488$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.16 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 1,400$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.89 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…3b71backed Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 50c | 935.06$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.53 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Under | 50c | 794.75$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.38 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Over | 50c | 750$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 51c | 658.31$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.7 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 51c | 647.07$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.42 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…1af3backed Over | 51c | 602$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.02 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 56c | 584.61$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.73 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Over | 50c | 562$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 286 | 47.2%135 W · 151 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 49c | 504.99$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.45 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 23c | 446.91$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.05 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 26c | 401.07$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.95 | 548 | 15.9%87 W · 461 L | -41.1wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed Under | 51c | 399.98$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.99 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7963…78a1backed Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -5.8wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb007…21f2backed Under | 59c | 372.88$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 49c | 346.92$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 49c | 299.98$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under | 50c | 298.13$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.13 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 51c | 295.31$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.5 | 301 | 50.8%153 W · 148 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Over | 50c | 283$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.5 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Over | 50c | 282$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 278.72$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.02 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d63…0b78backed Over | 50c | 274.09$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.67 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Over | 51c | 251$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.01 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Over | 51c | 202$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.02 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d8…c0f2backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Under | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.01 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Over | 51c | 193.33$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf89f…32b0backed Over | 52c | 193.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -6.2wins | -0.28per pick | 55cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 51c | 191.78$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.97 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09d3…3128backed Under | 51c | 191.76$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.96 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Over | 50c | 178.2$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Over | 50c | 171$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 17c | 166.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 1,928 | 17.2%331 W · 1,597 L | -320.9wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Under | 52c | 157.69$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.69 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 53c | 149.98$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.07 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 18c | 148.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Over | 50c | 147.05$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.53 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…f673backed Over | 50c | 143$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…ca10backed Over | 49c | 142.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.06 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 40c | 136.12$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 50c | 133.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81f…2fd6backed Over | 51c | 128$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a1…10dcbacked Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 218 | 51.4%112 W · 106 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over | 51c | 119$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 50c | 112.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 51c | 107.97$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.23 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 52c | 107.71$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.35 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 49c | 105$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…29bfbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f04…6a54backed Over | 33c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f16…b5b9backed Over | 51c | 88.23$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 396 | 53.5%212 W · 184 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Over | 50c | 85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 770 | 52.1%401 W · 369 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 51c | 83.4$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.53 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Under | 51c | 82$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 228 | 51.3%117 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 65c | 78.01$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Over | 51c | 78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 1,306 | 50.7%662 W · 644 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…3a77backed Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Over | 50c | 69.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Over | 51c | 68.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 49c | 67.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.23 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Over | 50c | 67.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5this page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore OriolesBaltimore Orioles won
- NRFI: Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore OriolesYes won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.