Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Gaziantep FK vs. Alanyaspor end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d877be4ebe16b5631ccea94d8cb6f0cc3088fbcfd32cd99346319edd97c08c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 66c | 1,469$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.95 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 32c | 782.41$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.08 | 134 | 32.1%43 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 561.14$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.18 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…20a5backed Yes | 78c | 532.47$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.14 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 29c | 483.93$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.31 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 68c | 431.55$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.92 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 32c | 334.05$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.25 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…4490backed Yes | 29c | 298.22$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.06 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 293.34$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.02 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 78c | 289.19$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.07 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 17c | 218.66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 22c | 191.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 22c | 191.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed No | 66c | 189$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.74 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Yes | 28c | 170.86$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.02 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 22c | 164.42$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…7800backed No | 50c | 143.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 136.03$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.49 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 51c | 113.46$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 22c | 100.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 22c | 97.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 31c | 95.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.14 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 22c | 94.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked No | 21c | 90.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…a4c4backed Yes | 33c | 88.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.6 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 71c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7f…657ebacked No | 75c | 52.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x17a1…8501backed No | 22c | 49.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0c…4f2bbacked Yes | 72c | 49.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 45c | 47.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 80c | 43.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 80c | 32.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 72c | 29.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 69c | 28.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5706…514fbacked Yes | 73c | 26.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 72c | 24.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 68c | 19.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Yes | 78c | 19.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gaziantep FK vs. Alanyaspor end in a draw?this page
- Will Alanyaspor win on 2026-04-04?No won
- Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-04-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.