Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Alanyaspor win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8b1b3b2c6272b12af2f6cd88190e90238c14e578917036677650c78187ad7dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,748
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,703
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,748 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 33c | 2,573$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.36 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 34c | 1,230$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.31 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 39c | 528.64$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.17 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 32c | 387.42$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.06 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 59c | 266.41$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.25 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 13c | 265.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Yes | 13c | 265.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Yes | 13c | 265.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 13c | 265.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 39c | 247.03$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 33c | 229.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.98 | 134 | 32.1%43 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 10c | 201.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed No | 63c | 196.13$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.57 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 52c | 156.43$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.72 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 61c | 155.68$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.23 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 38c | 155.44$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.07 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 61c | 145.55$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…bbdabacked No | 68c | 144.24$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cc…1958backed Yes | 62c | 112.04$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.48 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 62c | 107.49$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7f…657ebacked Yes | 63c | 103.37$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 77c | 82.57$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 34c | 71.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.23 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 51c | 60.69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.47 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 27c | 54.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdba6…13a3backed No | 78c | 48.04$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 77cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed No | 62c | 39.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b4…570cbacked Yes | 38c | 36.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed No | 39c | 28.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 27.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 54c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed No | 41c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 62c | 19.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alanyaspor win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will Gaziantep FK vs. Alanyaspor end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-04-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.