TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-16.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Bulls
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$194,024
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$197,985

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,024 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf668…5c69backed Bulls58c68,328$39,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,427.8736359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks43c24,089$10,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,636.829,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Knicks43c10,645$4,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,052.173,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Bulls58c10,268$5,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,944.172,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Bulls58c5,241$3,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,030.886,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks43c5,212$2,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,993.794,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Knicks40c5,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0002,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Bulls57c4,792$2,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,731.6721350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Bulls31c3,441$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.722,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Bulls50c3,252$1,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,635.231,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Knicks42c2,954$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,713.3771654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Knicks42c2,931$1,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,697.81,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks41c2,808$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,663.964,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Knicks41c2,748$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,610.472,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Bulls54c2,537$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,357.911,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Knicks41c2,335$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,366.614,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Bulls53c2,128$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.462,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bca…0d11backed Knicks42c1,915$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.610252.9%54 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef53…58e8backed Bulls57c1,852$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.76862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Bulls57c1,785$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.121,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Knicks42c1,771$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.361,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Knicks42c1,709$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.5390650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed Bulls58c1,700$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.032070%14 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x779a…5e89backed Knicks65c1,506$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.232853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Knicks43c1,300$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.911,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Knicks77c1,284$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.9943269.2%299 W · 133 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Bulls52c1,114$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.613,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd500…4568backed Bulls57c974.2$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.29742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Knicks42c919.24$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.1635052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Knicks43c758.83$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.273,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Bulls57c746.89$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.7359250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Knicks45c739.81$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.4781349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Knicks41c712.08$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.1316743.7%73 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Knicks42c689.43$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.8751647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b62…728abacked Bulls58c682.29$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.5911556.5%65 W · 50 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Knicks41c670.02$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.3137842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bulls58c668.75$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.62,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked Bulls60c650.67$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.411235.7%40 W · 72 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Bulls53c642.36$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.4531354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Knicks46c585.02$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.9620741.1%85 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Knicks44c580.25$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.615,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaba…51debacked Bulls55c531.55$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.8810947.7%52 W · 57 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Bulls57c512.43$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.081,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Knicks42c507.22$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.1965349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Bulls60c490.81$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.491,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Bulls57c487.1$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.652,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Knicks64c476.4$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.431,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Knicks68c471.08$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.0695049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Knicks48c459.15$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.989444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Knicks47c433.54$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.4468645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Bulls54c425.14$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.585,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Knicks44c416.52$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.2562744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Bulls59c413.31$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.8539552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Bulls56c407.29$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.0993543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1b…7768backed Knicks42c404$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.3227645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Knicks40c401.78$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.0716242.6%69 W · 93 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0258…06d0backed Bulls52c385.98$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.5211033.6%37 W · 73 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Bulls57c379.88$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.5642348.5%205 W · 218 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed Bulls54c360.15$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.4852760%316 W · 211 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Bulls52c263.51$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.3891846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Bulls58c260.14$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.8819258.3%112 W · 80 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Bulls34c240.39$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6426337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa71c…e905backed Knicks42c219.29$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.184544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed Bulls52c216.43$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.545250%26 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Knicks44c207.64$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.871,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5303…83e6backed Bulls59c206.65$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.936647%31 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Bulls58c198.32$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.036860.3%41 W · 27 L+9.5wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+33.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x727d…c2e0backed Knicks40c192.8$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.686648.5%32 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Bulls30c191.6$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4833360.4%201 W · 132 L+17.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Knicks40c185$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11156843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Bulls57c179.25$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.172,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Knicks42c176.77$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9438947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22f6…ea56backed Bulls57c170.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.42425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Knicks43c164.18$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.1678648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Bulls61c160.1$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6617944.1%79 W · 100 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa04…796bbacked Bulls54c154.49$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.975651.8%29 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5706…514fbacked Bulls40c142.41$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.961338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+131.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Bulls52c139.85$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.3389048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Bulls52c138.59$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.075463%34 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Bulls58c127.7$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.0729352.9%155 W · 138 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Knicks41c119.62$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0320240.1%81 W · 121 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Bulls54c118.05$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7580653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Knicks43c117.09$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.742,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Bulls35c116.81$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.881,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xb1cc…1958backed Bulls52c107.98$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.152458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Bulls57c102.55$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4590957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Knicks47c99.98$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9935849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3735…3d9dbacked Bulls57c99.37$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6410737.4%40 W · 67 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Bulls27c97.56$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.371,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24cb…1f0cbacked Bulls57c97.42$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.534548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid+27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fb9…afbbbacked Bulls57c97.42$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.534250%21 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d50…436fbacked Bulls57c97.42$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.535048%24 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebb1…e7afbacked Bulls57c97.42$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5336854.1%199 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5210…2037backed Bulls57c97.39$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.512944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1cd…aecdbacked Bulls57c97.39$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x927e…fc97backed Bulls57c97.35$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Knicks44c96.64$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1233949.9%169 W · 170 L-1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34ab…11c4backed Bulls17c94.74$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9640%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Knicks42c93.62$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.311451.8%59 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Knicks42c86.41$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.321,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.