TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-15.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Bulls
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,309
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,797

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,309 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf668…5c69backed Bulls54c15,697$8,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,416.436359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Bulls55c10,194$5,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,606.7415952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Knicks50c9,990$5,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,944.9249244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Bulls48c8,000$3,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,839.9816249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Knicks52c4,106$2,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,971.156646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Bulls49c3,875$1,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,898.5514441%59 W · 85 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks45c3,613$1,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,986.996,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks46c3,042$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,652.74,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Knicks47c2,905$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,539.4446145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Bulls50c2,651$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,325.5137355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc03…1548backed Bulls53c2,581$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,367.91427.1%3 W · 39 L-8.1wins-0.19per pick26cpaid-86.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Knicks49c1,921$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.4564944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Bulls50c1,795$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.8531046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Knicks51c1,431$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.242,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Knicks45c1,404$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.561,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Knicks46c1,206$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.894,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Bulls57c1,071$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.0290650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Bulls56c1,067$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.451,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Bulls54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54095641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Knicks52c942.06$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.2820846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a6b…d10abacked Bulls49c913.97$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.841421.4%3 W · 11 L-4.3wins-0.31per pick52cpaid-60.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Knicks46c714.74$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.533,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Knicks50c604$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.961,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Knicks50c599.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30052951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Bulls50c589.78$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.761,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Bulls55c497.31$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.5224247.1%114 W · 128 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Bulls56c486.8$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.6132450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Knicks46c417.04$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.217644.9%79 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Knicks45c410.98$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.0415446.1%71 W · 83 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1b…7768backed Knicks47c404$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.1227645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Knicks45c401.73$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.355,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd7…eac9backed Knicks45c386.8$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.745440.7%22 W · 32 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Knicks44c360.91$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.321,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Knicks49c348.15$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.851,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bulls54c317.14$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.39,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Knicks52c291.36$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.8521653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Bulls56c286.86$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.6484443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Bulls53c284.51$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.0493543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc423…2ccdbacked Bulls54c277.77$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010854.6%59 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Knicks45c269.51$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.2371654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Bulls52c251.94$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.992,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Knicks47c242.05$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.292,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Knicks43c230.91$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.6228643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Knicks42c230.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.931,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Knicks52c194.24$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2444345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4980…57febacked Bulls50c193.03$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5210245.1%46 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Bulls52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1224849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Knicks43c178.43$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.711,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Bulls56c174.99$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.361,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Bulls56c172.71$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3835052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Bulls57c170.9$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4151647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Knicks47c163.06$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8949249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Knicks51c144.32$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.7234247.7%163 W · 179 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bulls52c140.15$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.344,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Knicks46c127.04$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.656447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Bulls55c117.18$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.6334953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa71c…e905backed Knicks46c115.43$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.444544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Knicks58c111.36$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8395049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Knicks45c107.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.5838152.8%201 W · 180 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Knicks46c105$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.721743.8%95 W · 122 L-14.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Knicks50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5035849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Knicks46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5468645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Knicks45c99.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5548152%250 W · 231 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Knicks51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.631,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Knicks50c94.96$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.4833748.1%162 W · 175 L-1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Knicks45c89.38$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.932,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Knicks46c88.04$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.542,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91ff…edfdbacked Knicks52c86.15$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3516948.5%82 W · 87 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Bulls57c85.96$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.753348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf421…2e3abacked Bulls57c85.46$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.717248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x231f…254bbacked Bulls57c85.46$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.719848%47 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Knicks45c80.58$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3255444.4%246 W · 308 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Bulls53c75.05$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6665349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Knicks53c69.63$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.953,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x015d…7bc7backed Bulls57c68.96$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.316553.8%35 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked Knicks47c61.8$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.758657%49 W · 37 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bd6…bf96backed Knicks52c57.9$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7923051.3%118 W · 112 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Knicks45c56.28$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9555347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x202f…7b58backed Knicks45c53.72$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.551369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick43cpaid+70%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb408…e303backed Bulls56c52.16$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2113852.2%72 W · 66 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Bulls55c49.48$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.013,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Knicks46c46.76$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2553339.6%211 W · 322 L-39.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3603…b9b3backed Knicks45c43.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.043943.6%17 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Bulls56c43.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3491746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Knicks45c43.29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8160945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Bulls57c42.73$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3657051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1142…e972backed Bulls50c40.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.051435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0777…1f04backed Bulls50c40.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.051435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9985…dad8backed Bulls49c39.57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.394526.7%12 W · 33 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-33.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Bulls47c36.54$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.11,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xfb2a…4e1fbacked Knicks45c35.67$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.625137.3%19 W · 32 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-24.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Bulls31c32.35$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.11,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfbc…f42bbacked Knicks45c32.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7313848.6%67 W · 71 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Bulls53c31.4$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7164844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Bulls55c30.93$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.931,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e4…7197backed Bulls54c29.77$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.081942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Bulls49c29.35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.381,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dbf…a9ffbacked Bulls50c29.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.556349.2%31 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51b6…1903backed Bulls50c29.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.556950.7%35 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5767…8cc1backed Knicks46c29.03$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.681,08442.4%460 W · 624 L-48.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.