TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 237.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$984,076
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$981,192

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $984,076 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 280 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over52c418,218$216,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216,490.4587451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63a5…8e33backed Over51c266,597$137,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137,288.031172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+38.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under48c196,333$94,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102,093.354539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c132,188$64,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67,935.959,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under49c96,322$47,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,991.091,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under48c96,257$46,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,053.5224650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under49c39,753$19,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,311.991,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Under52c26,374$13,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,691.0819754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under49c24,861$12,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,666.013,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under48c20,492$9,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,663.126,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under50c19,863$9,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,893.7437355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Under49c12,154$5,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,198.6516346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over45c10,158$4,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,546.892,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c10,149$4,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,298.925,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed Under50c9,804$4,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,886.662445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over51c9,244$4,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,714.441,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c8,988$4,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,561.322,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c8,528$4,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,264.354,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x394e…450fbacked Under52c6,601$3,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,182.96450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef53…58e8backed Under49c6,157$3,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,129.67862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under49c6,150$3,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,142.312,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc38…1e98backed Under51c5,405$2,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,648.565341.5%22 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under51c5,207$2,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,568.914,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under52c4,862$2,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,333.811,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under50c4,573$2,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,284.262,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over49c4,330$2,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,117.984,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Over51c4,328$2,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,207.284860.4%29 W · 19 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c4,071$2,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0681,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Under48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0806939.1%27 W · 42 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdda0…edaabacked Over1c3,762$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.891921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-62.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c2,361$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.683,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under49c2,235$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.0330446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Under52c2,103$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.2722948.5%111 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0402,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04032051.9%166 W · 154 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under49c1,978$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.9726648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd500…4568backed Under49c1,939$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.79742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2734…6d9ebacked Over52c1,868$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.26144.3%27 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over50c1,800$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9002,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Over52c1,684$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.6812646%58 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2913…d241backed Over51c1,652$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.56550.8%33 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under61c1,608$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.6214556.6%82 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over51c1,595$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.3515952.8%84 W · 75 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over50c1,400$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69884150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over51c1,385$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.2627747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under48c1,372$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.335,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Over65c1,345$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.916245.2%28 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under51c1,341$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.181,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Under50c1,316$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.1910745.8%49 W · 58 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under50c1,294$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.311,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under50c1,293$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.6990650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Under51c1,234$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.3721350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Over50c1,199$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.6513857.2%79 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under49c1,050$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.9978648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Under49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51044252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Under51c999.99$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.9927241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over50c999.91$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9653951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb85…eda7backed Over18c988.65$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.581145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaacb…03b7backed Over51c953.65$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.2710457.7%60 W · 44 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Under49c912.21$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.2231643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Under55c900$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40523251.7%120 W · 112 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Under71c875.21$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.6110239.2%40 W · 62 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over49c839.41$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.3187750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c19…859cbacked Over34c810.41$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.565560%33 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Under52c800$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38465762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfedd…32c4backed Over51c725.98$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.029655.2%53 W · 43 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under52c618.82$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.031,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cb4…3839backed Under46c616.87$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.111050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd33a…1fe2backed Under50c593.25$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.76639.4%26 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4db6…6ea4backed Under49c589.3$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.412100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+74%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Under50c532.54$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.9229344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under50c500.33$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.6791746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over49c499.99$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24533150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over49c494.59$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.3539552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Over51c482.35$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.9444345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under53c477.33$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.3492058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under53c472.64$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.1489853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over50c426.98$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.0849249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Over17c422.39$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9120837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under50c402.5$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.661,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Under48c400.54$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.2817651.7%91 W · 85 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over38c396$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.483,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Over50c382.15$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.755463%34 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over48c380.89$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.2191846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6265…0d9fbacked Over52c373.54$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.248155.6%45 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under50c343.3$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.852,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Under54c327$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.121848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over52c317.41$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.0659250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over52c317.41$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.0656447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under49c307.53$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.764844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Under50c298.76$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.386860.3%41 W · 27 L+9.5wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+33.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1142…e972backed Under50c296.15$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.511435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0777…1f04backed Under50c296.15$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.511435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over42c294.03$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.4920741.1%85 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over50c292.32$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.912,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over51c282.51$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.1165349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over50c267.71$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.561,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under57c245.71$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.0152053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.