TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Josh Giddey: Points O/U 15.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,106
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,815

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,106 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x696a…e23abacked Yes39c2,664$1,050 inLost-$1,050.117151.5%88 W · 83 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes41c1,795$744 inLost-$743.7676054.6%415 W · 345 L+56.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed No60c1,630$978 inWon+$65214245.8%65 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed No61c1,000$610 inWon+$3901,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No57c398$227 inWon+$171.144,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe768…b331backed No65c301.76$197 inWon+$104.639864.3%256 W · 142 L+33.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d41…f237backed Yes48c282.57$136 inLost-$135.632128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-39%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Yes44c263.56$116 inLost-$115.9793145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7694…7493backed Yes36c213.12$77 inLost-$76.9340%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Yes44c208.65$92 inLost-$91.815843.1%25 W · 33 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Yes36c194.24$70 inLost-$69.891,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Yes43c112.3$48 inLost-$48.2914445.8%66 W · 78 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43a3…490ebacked Yes32c89.93$29 inLost-$28.78128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.23per pick31cpaid-74.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a12…a366backed Yes43c89.84$39 inLost-$38.632740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce27…8a7dbacked Yes47c82.51$39 inLost-$38.7313441%55 W · 79 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No66c80$53 inWon+$27.295260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabdd…2d96backed No64c70$45 inWon+$25.260267.3%405 W · 197 L+46.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed No64c70$45 inWon+$25.214560.7%88 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfb0…b6f5backed No64c68.66$44 inWon+$24.972462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8087…6d7abacked Yes44c56.4$25 inLost-$24.824337.2%16 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked No65c55$36 inWon+$19.2527074.1%200 W · 70 L+30.5wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+18%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed No61c52$32 inWon+$20.2833653.9%181 W · 155 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e90…188dbacked Yes48c30.36$15 inLost-$14.532744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No63c21.62$14 inWon+$890863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked No66c20$13 inWon+$6.826957.2%154 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.