TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-13.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Bulls
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$286,056
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$296,761

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $286,056 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Bulls51c128,991$65,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,785.4732653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Bulls50c56,497$28,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,103.2187451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Knicks49c29,676$14,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,134.514847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks49c27,129$13,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,704.479,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Knicks49c26,186$12,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,354.943148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Knicks50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0004860.4%29 W · 19 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d82…3847backed Knicks52c19,047$9,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,142.712250%11 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Bulls48c16,647$7,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,990.721,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Knicks51c16,551$8,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,128.153,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Knicks49c15,000$7,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,6508839.8%35 W · 53 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Knicks49c14,000$6,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,0902,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e70…f06fbacked Knicks49c10,309$5,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,217.666746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Knicks49c8,119$3,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,140.5514946.3%69 W · 80 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7067…e41ebacked Knicks51c4,960$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,410.581338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Knicks53c4,900$2,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,303.178763.2%55 W · 32 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Knicks48c4,650$2,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,418.0315644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks50c4,576$2,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,308.696,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Bulls51c3,843$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,959.691,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Knicks49c3,616$1,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,844.291,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Knicks49c3,469$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,769.2990650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe21e…f216backed Knicks57c3,445$1,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,470.2712058.3%70 W · 50 L+11.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Bulls47c2,560$1,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,203.1632540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Bulls48c1,875$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9002,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Bulls7c1,857$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.210239.2%40 W · 62 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Knicks50c1,713$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.71,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Bulls51c1,614$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.0722948.5%111 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33e9…39b0backed Knicks80c1,122$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.47152.1%37 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Bulls48c1,103$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.6366248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Bulls10c1,063$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.752,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Knicks50c1,000$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.55,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Knicks52c931.34$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.9734953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Bulls47c930.85$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.518743.3%81 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Bulls42c858.96$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.762,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Knicks49c809.09$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.632,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Bulls51c700$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35765762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Knicks50c679$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.525847.3%122 W · 136 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Knicks73c606.09$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.3746258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Bulls49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29484150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Knicks58c565.12$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.681,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacb…03b7backed Bulls50c563.18$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.0310457.7%60 W · 44 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Bulls52c540.96$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.337355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Bulls20c523.6$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.7227463.5%174 W · 100 L+34.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Knicks49c496.04$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.9865349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Bulls51c475.78$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.6519258.3%112 W · 80 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Knicks50c430.87$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.873,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2913…d241backed Bulls50c408.8$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.686550.8%33 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb6…e3bbbacked Knicks50c388$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1946266.1%41 W · 21 L+9.0wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Bulls52c377.1$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.0992058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Bulls52c373.53$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.2476250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa75a…6933backed Bulls49c335.51$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Bulls50c319.62$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.8156447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Knicks52c295.56$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.877751.9%40 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Knicks52c293.5$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.8819550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32e5…be5bbacked Knicks53c275.04$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.277157.7%41 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Knicks51c249.99$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.593543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Knicks49c248.6$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.7935052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Knicks49c248.6$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.7951647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Bulls52c244.71$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.061,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Bulls50c236.5$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.111,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Bulls20c223.11$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7734255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Bulls47c214.57$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.6491746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Bulls51c210.08$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9738751.2%198 W · 189 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Knicks48c203.19$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.661,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Bulls45c200.01$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.012,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Bulls47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9468645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Knicks49c197.84$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.953348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Knicks53c194.36$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.3561957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Knicks75c189.29$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.7438464.3%247 W · 137 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Bulls52c186.61$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0489853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Bulls51c174$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.041,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x201a…ac42backed Bulls49c163.81$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.27955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5715…1616backed Knicks49c158.27$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.726333.3%21 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+50.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Bulls47c149.75$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9271654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x185d…5e67backed Bulls49c147.81$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.981361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Bulls49c147.07$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.071,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Knicks49c138.62$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.72,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Knicks65c129.95$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6195049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8d6…4af7backed Knicks52c122.07$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.985269.2%36 W · 16 L+11.8wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+53.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Bulls52c110.38$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.422349.8%111 W · 112 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Bulls49c104.89$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.011,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Bulls20c102.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1926337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Knicks50c102$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Knicks49c98.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.451,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf421…2e3abacked Knicks49c98.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.457248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a8…3c7dbacked Bulls49c97.93$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.99520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-63%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Bulls50c97.64$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4953453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb51…733cbacked Bulls52c93.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5611542.6%49 W · 66 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Knicks52c92.52$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9513052.3%68 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Knicks54c90.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4238152.8%201 W · 180 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0953…e44fbacked Bulls50c68.29$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.94812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.35per pick47cpaid-79.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Bulls52c67.98$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3595260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Bulls38c67.4$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6145542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Bulls30c59.82$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.91,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0158…75a5backed Bulls49c58.77$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.793548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Bulls40c55.1$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.131,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Knicks49c50.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8961151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Knicks79c50.19$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.729665.5%194 W · 102 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Knicks52c50.16$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9514852.7%78 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8ba…e551backed Bulls48c49.95$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Knicks49c49.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2257051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.