TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 238.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,922
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,776

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,922 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xef53…58e8backed Under51c9,542$4,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,649.36862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x144e…eca0backed Over49c4,001$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,960.497451.4%38 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Over49c3,751$1,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,838.212450.8%63 W · 61 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd500…4568backed Under52c2,523$1,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,210.8742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under53c2,055$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.791,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under54c2,049$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.990650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over47c1,946$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.922,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over48c1,400$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.8584150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under53c1,257$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.64,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over48c1,182$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.421247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over46c1,117$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.6418444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over48c1,095$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.616,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under52c1,078$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.9971654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under54c1,070$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.0391050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Under52c1,041$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.6817637.5%66 W · 110 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Over48c976.93$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.9313339.1%52 W · 81 L-11.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c898.44$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.229,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe53c…ee05backed Over50c820.62$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.314032.5%13 W · 27 L-6.9wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over47c812.47$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.611,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over48c739.94$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.172,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over53c650.41$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.111,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Under52c635.02$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.8128554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under52c599.96$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.9852951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under54c540.67$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.781,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under46c517.97$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.1640344.4%179 W · 224 L-23.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under52c511.56$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.552,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over47c434.8$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.3681349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under54c429.28$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.484,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c7…cad0backed Over49c393.7$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.91933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-35.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over47c347.23$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.221,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over47c336.06$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.954,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa04…796bbacked Under53c327.05$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.085651.8%29 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over46c316$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.3647436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe363…c894backed Over47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1413545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under52c296.4$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.892,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Under53c296.16$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.120741.1%85 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over47c225.31$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.7793543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9bf…f1c3backed Under50c217.59$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.81872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Over48c211.93$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7214155.3%78 W · 63 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8544…3d33backed Under53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.183366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8361151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8335052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8351647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Over48c180$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.421347.9%102 W · 111 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0999…016ebacked Under55c178.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.0413850%69 W · 69 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under53c174.89$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.6942853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over47c148.13$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6256547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over48c146$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.082,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Over48c145.66$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6645646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over47c129.13$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6465349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Over48c128.72$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7917250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under53c121.33$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.031,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xede1…3cf9backed Over47c116.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over47c113.45$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3255347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4835849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Over48c98.9$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4747738.2%182 W · 295 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf879…820ebacked Under53c91.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0911833.9%40 W · 78 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe136…b79fbacked Over47c88.44$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under50c87.5$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.751,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Over49c86.55$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4111648.3%56 W · 60 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over47c77.81$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.871,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed Over47c71.98$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1929556.6%167 W · 128 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over47c68.71$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.293,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over53c68.04$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.153,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over40c67.36$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.211,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Over54c60.74$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5295049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed5a…9c8bbacked Over48c60.55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.061241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over48c59.7$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6680653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under56c49.82$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.83,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aad…5ab3backed Under54c49.09$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.582236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Under66c48.53$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.517553.7%94 W · 81 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c9e…8e90backed Over49c48.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6514051.4%72 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12dc…1100backed Over49c45.5$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.32842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under53c44.8$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8320240.1%81 W · 121 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb2a…4e1fbacked Over46c44.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.425137.3%19 W · 32 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-24.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Over47c44.26$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.860945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda47…c2e9backed Over45c43.04$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.371553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae6f…6c9bbacked Over47c42.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203438.2%13 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under51c42.26$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5349247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Under52c40.49$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4323840.8%97 W · 141 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Under54c39.86$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2720247.5%96 W · 106 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x26e9…bd8cbacked Over47c37.55$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Under52c37.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9356454.3%306 W · 258 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b6e…a603backed Under52c37.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.931050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d46…fa33backed Over47c36.87$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.33633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-35.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over48c36.19$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.361,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Under54c36.01$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5721952.5%115 W · 104 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Over41c35.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.733030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdda0…edaabacked Over38c35.68$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.711921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-62.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d63…0b78backed Over56c33.57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.813253.8%71 W · 61 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e92…7e9fbacked Under53c32.89$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.46650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa71c…e905backed Over49c32.82$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.084544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd364…5115backed Over48c32.79$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.69850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b54…ea13backed Under52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.437959.4%225 W · 154 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over46c28.8$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2578648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Over47c27.89$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1734641%142 W · 204 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7de8…0a3bbacked Under55c27.15$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.222951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Under53c24.94$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7233159.2%196 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c74…46ecbacked Under48c24.22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.59977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick53cpaid+58.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.