TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 236.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$134,500
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$136,160

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,500 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfb85…eda7backed Over0c37,618$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c30,972$14,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,355.139,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over53c20,104$10,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,638.2387451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over53c17,437$9,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,206.926,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under49c6,559$3,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,373.51,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under47c4,291$2,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,274.492,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed Under47c3,033$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,607.252445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdda0…edaabacked Over0c2,741$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.231921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-62.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under48c2,635$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,370.21,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Over52c2,120$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.524151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c2,000$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0304,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over53c1,700$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9012,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over51c1,653$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.471,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over51c1,653$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.4790650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Under47c1,603$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.816346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over52c1,500$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.9684150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Over68c1,446$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.6928554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c1,327$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.563,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under50c1,176$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.151,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under48c1,018$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.8368645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under49c1,016$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.952,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over47c878$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.920741.1%85 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c19…859cbacked Over5c797.03$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.445560%33 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over54c687.99$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.5234953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under33c687.51$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.283,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over51c655.93$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.538844.3%39 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over54c583.44$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.0689853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over52c560.31$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.368450%42 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over54c540.22$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.7232952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under48c533.67$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.811,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2601,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over48c484.5$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.5195452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Over54c442.1$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.739652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2913…d241backed Over54c380.45$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.166550.8%33 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under48c373.08$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.181,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x354f…95f8backed Over54c360.15$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.488763.2%55 W · 32 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over51c320.43$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.314,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under47c309.69$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.7364844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c300$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.512,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64ad…bde6backed Over51c299.92$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.969749.5%48 W · 49 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over51c283.7$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.6265349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under49c276.7$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.1271654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Under58c243.7$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.3532151.7%166 W · 155 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under48c237.25$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.481,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over43c235.55$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.761,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Under47c234.13$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.1816642.2%70 W · 96 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaacb…03b7backed Over54c206.89$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.2310457.7%60 W · 44 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under49c197.84$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.961151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under49c197.84$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.951647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under47c197.04$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.4355347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1f1…3fd9backed Under50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975147.1%24 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1235052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cee…dfadbacked Over53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1813655.9%76 W · 60 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over53c149$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.9756843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under49c148.22$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.591,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under49c138.71$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.131,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Under49c131.8$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2210745.8%49 W · 58 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x549d…35b9backed Over53c128.35$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0311354.9%62 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under49c121.08$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.33,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under52c120.43$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8134247.7%163 W · 179 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over54c118.05$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7580653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under48c116.4$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.0993543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under48c114.77$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6991746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Over51c111$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6126745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe136…b79fbacked Under46c107.19$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.01837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over28c105.44$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9237753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2110…306fbacked Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517844.9%35 W · 43 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5333949.9%169 W · 170 L-1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over53c97.01$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3884443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e23…94b2backed Under49c93.97$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.935246.2%24 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed Over54c93.64$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5611946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over52c93.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.561,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over53c91.68$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5953453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Under47c85.53$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.3316242.6%69 W · 93 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x015d…7bc7backed Under49c79.95$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.776553.8%35 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under47c74.63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.5560945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over54c70.05$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8360346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aad…5ab3backed Under49c63.95$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.622236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c0e…5860backed Under50c62.08$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.042060%12 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2e…7f4ebacked Over52c61.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.239150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4d…0486backed Under75c61.41$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.587646.1%35 W · 41 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Under48c58.13$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2324044.6%107 W · 133 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6859…f7c2backed Over51c57.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.122050%10 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x60a5…f52ebacked Over52c56.03$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1422453.1%119 W · 105 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Over54c54.02$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.177051.4%36 W · 34 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed Over56c52.16$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2118459.2%109 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under27c52$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9678639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c0e…8177backed Over53c49.51$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2420650.5%104 W · 102 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under51c48.07$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.672,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5676…7da7backed Over52c47.63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7713038.5%50 W · 80 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Over52c46.69$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2821948.9%107 W · 112 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe97f…9337backed Over53c45.84$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.318453.3%98 W · 86 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c44…5eefbacked Over53c45.56$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.15837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed Over51c43.77$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.329646.9%45 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x114d…3b5fbacked Over40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8535…c307backed Over53c38.87$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.68360.2%50 W · 33 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under51c37.16$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.343,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under48c36.66$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.011,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Over52c33.78$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6295049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.