TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Knicks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Bulls, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,413,850
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,543,309

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,413,850 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0c15…9a45backed Bulls11c197,925$21,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,771.811137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85f0…3f67backed Bulls10c77,884$7,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,414.644546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Bulls10c66,220$6,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,6221,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c5e…a114backed Bulls11c47,998$5,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,129.263554.3%19 W · 16 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Bulls10c41,057$4,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,195.923,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Bulls6c33,453$2,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,027.421,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Bulls10c23,199$2,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,209.232,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Bulls10c20,101$2,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,013.1390650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef53…58e8backed Bulls11c19,223$2,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,111.59862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Bulls9c17,000$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.9947028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Bulls10c16,555$1,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,655.51,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60e8…50c2backed Bulls10c15,832$1,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,580.475651.8%29 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a6…89b2backed Bulls10c15,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.9914244.4%63 W · 79 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bulls10c12,715$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,271.352,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bulls9c12,066$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.954,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Bulls10c9,697$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.748352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bulls10c9,460$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9462,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Bulls10c8,956$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.5837355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bulls3c8,083$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.328,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Bulls2c8,018$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.823737.8%14 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Bulls0c7,984$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.468783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed Bulls11c6,441$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.4685248.9%417 W · 435 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Bulls11c6,254$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.8912541.6%52 W · 73 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a8e…6dd0backed Bulls12c5,525$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.042240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick34cpaid-11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Bulls7c5,397$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.783,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x78e4…4f28backed Bulls0c5,348$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.281526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-52.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Bulls8c5,246$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.6811335.4%40 W · 73 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Bulls11c5,163$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.6424841.1%102 W · 146 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Bulls9c5,135$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.6971654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bulls10c4,908$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.799,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Bulls0c4,812$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.538820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Bulls10c4,577$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.8865349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Bulls0c4,483$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.317211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeba7…85b9backed Bulls11c4,303$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Bulls7c4,283$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.931,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Bulls10c4,183$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.321,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Bulls10c4,134$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.8821350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls9c3,925$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.151,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Bulls11c3,736$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.8615140.4%61 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked Bulls10c3,406$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.5611235.7%40 W · 72 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Bulls10c3,350$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.8930947.6%147 W · 162 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9af…cc49backed Bulls9c3,323$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.064647.8%22 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6cf…6bb8backed Bulls10c3,111$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Bulls10c3,022$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.286,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Bulls10c3,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9823742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1f3…e903backed Bulls9c2,831$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.83728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2645…2ba8backed Bulls9c2,605$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.41425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-43.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Bulls10c2,500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9995641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd500…4568backed Bulls11c2,367$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.32742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Bulls10c2,240$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.6629250%146 W · 146 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d22…03eebacked Bulls9c2,236$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.251050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Bulls9c2,160$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.421,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc3a…f0abbacked Bulls9c1,988$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.94366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick29cpaid+71.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Bulls10c1,892$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.217532%56 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5dd7…8131backed Bulls9c1,891$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.172638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-37.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x12cf…a5e8backed Bulls9c1,887$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.83966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Bulls9c1,848$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.2831046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Bulls8c1,793$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.7651647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Bulls11c1,721$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.325831%18 W · 40 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc0…d061backed Bulls9c1,581$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.26633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Bulls10c1,429$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.6825226.6%67 W · 185 L-26.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-49.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Bulls10c1,400$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.8368944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff72…512bbacked Bulls6c1,280$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5421935.6%78 W · 141 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Bulls9c1,264$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.721,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Bulls7c1,243$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.762,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bulls2c1,239$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.771,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Bulls10c1,209$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.0835052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21e2…0a4cbacked Bulls9c1,191$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.21875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+31.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21ff…5e2abacked Bulls2c1,158$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.354042.5%17 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89dc…8f42backed Bulls10c1,111$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.19154.9%50 W · 41 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Bulls8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8061336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Bulls7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7068645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Bulls1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104200.7%3 W · 417 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ad…bde6backed Bulls14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1409749.5%48 W · 49 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x765c…0779backed Bulls10c999.98$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6653939.5%213 W · 326 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb145…8619backed Bulls11c996.6$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07e3…37b1backed Bulls10c994.76$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.439545.3%43 W · 52 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x184c…be31backed Bulls9c973.76$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.641050%5 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed Bulls10c971.46$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0713435.8%48 W · 86 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ce5…af2ebacked Bulls2c940.73$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.818134.6%28 W · 53 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Bulls10c938.29$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3526450%132 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Bulls7c925.86$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8136949.6%183 W · 186 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Bulls10c886.24$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.6291746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Bulls11c860.55$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6629635.8%106 W · 190 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Bulls11c860.55$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6617944.1%79 W · 100 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Bulls10c835.56$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.5661151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Bulls10c832.48$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2519443.3%84 W · 110 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Bulls11c806.76$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7424247.1%114 W · 128 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7203…22d6backed Bulls12c789.33$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.729843.9%43 W · 55 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf91b…24a8backed Bulls9c783.23$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.49850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Bulls2c781.2$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.621,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Bulls9c777.12$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.941,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…d098backed Bulls10c756.8$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.681947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe777…c734backed Bulls3c703.61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.746639.4%26 W · 40 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda4d…c8eebacked Bulls2c688.63$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.323318.2%6 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick10cpaid-13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xafd2…9693backed Bulls2c658.84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.18911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Bulls10c644.32$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4339448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90bf…99ebbacked Bulls16c590.63$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.167353.4%39 W · 34 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Bulls11c567.96$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4810022%22 W · 78 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Bulls9c567.24$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0526530.9%82 W · 183 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.