NBA · resolved market
Nick Richards: Rebounds O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5adf8b40f542e74a86fdc0a09b570bc82e68e8eebe3e5f0652963e86886f131c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,406
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,406 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9bea…038ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,303$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +49%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cfc…7f6bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,160$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2116…eb8fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,114$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 4cpaid | +673.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed No | 55c | 1,007$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.04 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe006…25a1backed Yes | 45c | 989.01$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.81 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80aa…e8eabacked Yes | 1c | 956.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 5cpaid | +522.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Yes | 9c | 870$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.1 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Yes | 6c | 750$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 330 | 30.9%102 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…4ce0backed Yes | 39c | 727.53$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.24 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Yes | 10c | 688$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.05 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked No | 61c | 594.57$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.88 | 392 | 65.1%255 W · 137 L | +31.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Yes | 7c | 552$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Yes | 9c | 240$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae9…0783backed Yes | 30c | 217.47$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.24 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Yes | 9c | 209$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 249 | 36.9%92 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…b331backed No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 398 | 64.3%256 W · 142 L | +33.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 63c | 113$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe86d…ada3backed No | 61c | 57.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 153 | 62.1%95 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked No | 56c | 33.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 270 | 74.1%200 W · 70 L | +30.5wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +18%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x376d…bc1bbacked No | 65c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 98 | 69.4%68 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nick Richards: Rebounds O/U 7.5this page
- Bulls vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 236.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 237.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 238.5Under won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Nick Richards: Points O/U 9.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Spread: Knicks (-13.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-15.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-16.5)Knicks won
- Tre Jones: Points O/U 14.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.