TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9d41…f237

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
44
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT2128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-39%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.05
Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$163.82
Malik Monk: Assists O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.41
Zion Williamson: Points O/U 21.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.05
Josh Giddey: Points O/U 15.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.63
Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$120.1
Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 20.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.52
Drake Powell: Rebounds O/U 2.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 20.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Myles Turner: Points O/U 10.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Cody Williams: Points O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$38.18
Isaac Okoro: Points O/U 10.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 9.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 11.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$43.33
Tobias Harris: Assists O/U 2.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$45.26
Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 21 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-24.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-66.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Creighton Bluejays: O/U 150.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$41.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)backed Sporting CP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$73.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+97.9%+$142.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$25.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Tigre vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$60.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs GLYPH (BO3) - BLAST Slam Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.