Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa06051cfab6dd4b079e51b982b7feefd20fa201dad2b6980abe4862d70d7350d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sporting CPof Sporting CP, CD Santa Clara
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Sporting CP | 53c | 1,386$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.34 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed CD Santa Clara | 53c | 1,111$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.05 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed CD Santa Clara | 56c | 1,006$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.78 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Sporting CP | 45c | 954.59$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.03 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sporting CP | 79c | 761.92$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.72 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…3586backed CD Santa Clara | 18c | 475.4$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7067…e41ebacked CD Santa Clara | 50c | 394.75$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…035cbacked Sporting CP | 41c | 294.59$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf69c…44dbbacked Sporting CP | 62c | 264.68$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.26 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed CD Santa Clara | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 125 | 64%80 W · 45 L | +13.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0cfc…7f6bbacked CD Santa Clara | 7c | 249.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked CD Santa Clara | 47c | 234.13$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.04 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Sporting CP | 49c | 222.59$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…68d7backed Sporting CP | 25c | 199.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.97 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…eb43backed Sporting CP | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked CD Santa Clara | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80aa…e8eabacked CD Santa Clara | 8c | 174.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed CD Santa Clara | 48c | 171.79$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.59 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b25…c762backed CD Santa Clara | 49c | 170.14$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed CD Santa Clara | 44c | 159$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.36 | 174 | 21.8%38 W · 136 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed CD Santa Clara | 30c | 152.19$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.14 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed CD Santa Clara | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Sporting CP | 52c | 149.94$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.97 | 187 | 49.7%93 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ecb…26a9backed CD Santa Clara | 51c | 145.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d41…f237backed Sporting CP | 48c | 141.28$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked CD Santa Clara | 48c | 116.39$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed CD Santa Clara | 55c | 115.6$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.91 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked CD Santa Clara | 55c | 115.6$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.91 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed CD Santa Clara | 55c | 112.83$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed CD Santa Clara | 55c | 112.52$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed CD Santa Clara | 54c | 107.09$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.36 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…c65dbacked Sporting CP | 45c | 106.77$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.65 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked CD Santa Clara | 55c | 101.37$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.19 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed Sporting CP | 46c | 100.97$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.52 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Sporting CP | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Sporting CP | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked CD Santa Clara | 55c | 94.34$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Sporting CP | 52c | 88.87$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.27 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked CD Santa Clara | 53c | 76.51$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed CD Santa Clara | 55c | 74.22$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sporting CP | 34c | 71.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Sporting CP | 47c | 69.76$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.97 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Sporting CP | 48c | 62.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked CD Santa Clara | 62c | 60.17$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf875…256cbacked Sporting CP | 37c | 51.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.69 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Sporting CP | 29c | 47.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…5159backed CD Santa Clara | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099c…e42cbacked CD Santa Clara | 55c | 44.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40dd…6816backed CD Santa Clara | 56c | 43.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed CD Santa Clara | 55c | 40.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked CD Santa Clara | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Sporting CP | 56c | 35.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…2e2abacked Sporting CP | 44c | 32.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Sporting CP | 46c | 29.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…b718backed Sporting CP | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Sporting CP | 50c | 25.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Sporting CP | 50c | 24.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…0504backed CD Santa Clara | 49c | 23.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed CD Santa Clara | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)this page
- Sporting CP vs. CD Santa Clara: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sporting CP vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 3.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: CD Santa Clara (-1.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: CD Santa Clara (-2.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)CD Santa Clara won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.