Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sporting CP vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5a041c6753298bfc7b1e4a0cd26e32f5cdbccf077be6e30d696ea61730179df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 54c | 5,866$3,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,677.71 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 15c | 4,158$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.53 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 2,677$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.09 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed Under | 44c | 2,084$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 45c | 1,917$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.02 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…2732backed Over | 56c | 1,742$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.69 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 55c | 884.55$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.05 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 22c | 846.19$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.59 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 46c | 482.98$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.51 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 44c | 446$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.24 | 174 | 21.8%38 W · 136 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Over | 54c | 225.31$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.76 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 34c | 220.38$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.12 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 72c | 218.49$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.96 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c0…9740backed Under | 48c | 206.26$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 55c | 183.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.79 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…f8b9backed Over | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 56c | 174.04$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.69 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 56c | 130.39$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.37 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 45c | 123$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 56c | 121.7$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x895c…d405backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…859cbacked Over | 55c | 97.3$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Under | 31c | 97.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17a1…8501backed Under | 46c | 95.79$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 47c | 87.03$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Over | 54c | 76.79$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 46c | 74.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 46c | 70.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 46c | 70.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…abcbbacked Over | 55c | 70.76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 56c | 69.54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked Under | 46c | 66.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 46c | 66.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 46c | 62.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 46c | 62.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 46c | 62.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 46c | 62.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 46c | 62.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 46c | 62.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Under | 46c | 61.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 46c | 56.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x695f…1b67backed Over | 55c | 56.61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…2e3abacked Under | 46c | 52.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Under | 46c | 48.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 45c | 47.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…770ebacked Under | 47c | 37.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 46c | 32.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under | 46c | 31.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed Under | 46c | 28.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9549…d3cbbacked Over | 55c | 26.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cb…126cbacked Over | 55c | 26.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 79c | 24.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 46c | 23.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…a4abbacked Over | 54c | 23.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Over | 55c | 19.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sporting CP vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 2.5this page
- Sporting CP vs. CD Santa Clara: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sporting CP vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 3.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: CD Santa Clara (-1.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: CD Santa Clara (-2.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)CD Santa Clara won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.