Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sporting CP vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb24a68405800cbda284e2f5bf6d4e2e66224202258a37697024077daa481f531
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,697
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,697 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x936e…473fbacked Over | 78c | 999.93$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 21c | 620.44$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.25 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 79c | 493.7$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.68 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 21c | 267.27$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.13 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 22c | 262.84$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.27 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Under | 5c | 256.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 78c | 253.03$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 22c | 252.43$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.53 | 174 | 21.8%38 W · 136 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 77c | 191.85$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.91 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 23c | 189.49$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 79c | 126.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0b…0eb7backed Over | 79c | 126.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 79c | 124.53$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 21c | 124.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Under | 22c | 112.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x895c…d405backed Under | 22c | 95.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…b082backed Over | 78c | 63.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 80c | 61.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 21c | 56.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 22c | 54.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 22c | 54.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under | 22c | 54.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…18f9backed Under | 22c | 54.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 22c | 49.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under | 22c | 49.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 22c | 49.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb017…9f48backed Over | 80c | 37.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 78c | 35.69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…fddbbacked Over | 79c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cb…126cbacked Over | 79c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked Over | 79c | 19.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 72 | 76.4%55 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Over | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sporting CP vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 1.5this page
- Sporting CP vs. CD Santa Clara: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sporting CP vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 3.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: CD Santa Clara (-1.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: CD Santa Clara (-2.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)CD Santa Clara won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.