Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sporting CP vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdef8bd7661a5d96f4a741ba393c3d57eef90ccf115194902b7eada74c78aaf3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,125
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,125 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Under | 5c | 8,858$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.43 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed Over | 73c | 2,952$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.11 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 15c | 2,079$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,757.51 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 67c | 1,981$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.4 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 41c | 1,762$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.69 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 38c | 1,761$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.88 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 75c | 1,642$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.46 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 34c | 1,318$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.31 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…85e4backed Under | 2c | 1,020$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…4f70backed Under | 80c | 753.78$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6412…2297backed Over | 20c | 746.54$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 65c | 698.98$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.64 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Over | 64c | 695.98$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.12 | 28 | 89.3%25 W · 3 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x93bb…bd91backed Over | 47c | 619.93$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…25d8backed Over | 68c | 578.04$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Over | 67c | 564.77$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.96 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 16c | 504.48$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.76 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…2732backed Over | 50c | 487.19$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.73 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 66c | 465.51$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.88 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +12.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Over | 64c | 463.58$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.67 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed Under | 5c | 417.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 72c | 409.67$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.71 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 79c | 379.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 27c | 336.38$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.82 | 174 | 21.8%38 W · 136 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7775…9a4ebacked Over | 57c | 285.42$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 33c | 244.31$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.62 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 48c | 242.2$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.94 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…e764backed Under | 39c | 233.58$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…083dbacked Over | 66c | 232.27$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.42 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked Over | 66c | 223.22$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.26 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Over | 65c | 218.39$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141d…7ea0backed Under | 38c | 213.84$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 70c | 199.98$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 44c | 191.09$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.47 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 74c | 180.16$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 135 | 73.3%99 W · 36 L | +24.7wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over | 63c | 178.46$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.03 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…0019backed Over | 30c | 162.18$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.3 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 30c | 159.74$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.92 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 73c | 148.88$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…4806backed Under | 72c | 136.56$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.32 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…43d4backed Under | 37c | 130.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 28c | 125.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cc…1958backed Over | 64c | 118.5$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 18c | 105.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.63 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Over | 64c | 105.61$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.88 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e59…cc2ebacked Under | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5a…d48abacked Under | 24c | 80.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 29c | 76.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.19 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06d4…8264backed Under | 72c | 66.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…6282backed Over | 51c | 62.8$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 66cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…860fbacked Over | 58c | 62.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 27c | 59.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.63 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfe…d2d0backed Over | 47c | 57.12$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed Under | 71c | 55.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 65c | 51.24$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 34c | 43.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.74 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd28…50adbacked Under | 34c | 42.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed Under | 71c | 41.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Over | 75c | 39.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd69f…1cacbacked Over | 65c | 37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…3a43backed Under | 40c | 33.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Over | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1a…5cddbacked Over | 62c | 29.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 68c | 24.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7bca…24aebacked Over | 55c | 19.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 62c | 16.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 62c | 16.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sporting CP vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 4.5this page
- Sporting CP vs. CD Santa Clara: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sporting CP vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: CD Santa Clara (-1.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: CD Santa Clara (-2.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)CD Santa Clara won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.