TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x06d4…8264

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
194
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Tennis, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 62 out of 100; worst La Liga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT8858%51 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 88 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.77
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$51.34
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$40.48
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$9.58
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$131.88
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$13.14
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.34
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.99
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+78.1%+$81.25
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Portugal to score first vs. Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$17.97
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$17.24
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$50
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$61.98
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+79.4%+$36.54
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 88 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.55
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+106.8%+$46.55
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+44.5%+$69.76
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.26
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.16
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$23.31
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$27.44
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+132.6%+$14.99
Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20.56
Will the US strike Yemen next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+40.6%+$5.78
Will the US strike Iran next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$28.98
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+158.6%+$18.4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+83.2%+$93.06
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+52.5%+$18.61
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+81.8%+$8.52
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT1687.5%14 W · 2 L+4.4wins+0.27per pick60cpaid+41.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Piracicaba: Maximo Zeitune vs Nicolas Zanellatobacked Nicolas Zanellato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Poznan: Gustavo Heide vs Maxim Mrvabacked Gustavo Heide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$11.04
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+93.6%+$42.12
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$43.28
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+60%+$15
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$46.38
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$13.5
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyukbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.8
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$9.38
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+77.5%+$17.83
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paulbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.12
Credit One Charleston Open: Iva Jovic vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$44.2
Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$24.47
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$99.72
All 16 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+49.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
World Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.11
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$86.32
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$32
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+130.5%+$88.87
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.5
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$140.38
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+83.6%+$33.44
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+51.5%+$51.02
Will Brazilian president Lula announce re-election run by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$52.35
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+94.1%+$148.29
All 12 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.73
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$81.29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$63.85
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$38.84
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.8
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.78
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+28.1%+$48.46
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick64cpaid+29.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+36%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
IPO — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+226.6%+$56.65
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.25
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+97.7%+$126.41
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$30.58
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+60.2%+$33.29
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$144.15
All 8 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+37%+$7.4
Chiefs vs. Titansbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$31.87
All 3 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.2
Cincinnati Reds vs. Texas Rangersbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Sporting CP vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+111.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+111.9%+$111.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+92.6%+$60.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
$MSTR added to Nasdaq 100?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST+25.9%+$4.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.82
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.