World Politics · resolved market
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the March meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d4434f968133ae04385e7a4035b49fbfcc96febf811eb2a93da18e123460979
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $207,997
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $241,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $207,997 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 315 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdcee…bda5backed Yes | 66c | 20,272$13,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,874.96 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb12f…0690backed Yes | 66c | 9,687$6,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,317.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x264d…6f2bbacked Yes | 67c | 8,513$5,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,843.12 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd02…60e0backed Yes | 56c | 6,928$3,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,076.6 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x740c…d013backed Yes | 58c | 5,948$3,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,483.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…937abacked Yes | 71c | 5,715$4,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,671.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…0dd7backed Yes | 63c | 5,553$3,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ab…6473backed Yes | 53c | 4,538$2,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 37c | 4,092$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.92 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ea…6033backed Yes | 64c | 3,743$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…c083backed Yes | 49c | 2,769$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.57 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…31c1backed Yes | 66c | 2,763$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1150…11d7backed Yes | 59c | 2,753$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +230.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 59c | 2,581$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.06 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…8dc0backed No | 42c | 2,105$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…dac8backed Yes | 55c | 2,039$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.82 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76d7…b775backed Yes | 57c | 2,000$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4518…1cacbacked No | 48c | 1,930$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.06 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…c1c4backed No | 35c | 1,752$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.18 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 51c | 1,561$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.21 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 57c | 1,468$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.71 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dad…c5dabacked Yes | 57c | 1,395$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.65 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcb…aba7backed No | 48c | 1,382$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb97c…5f49backed No | 48c | 1,362$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 38c | 1,356$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.32 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…bac3backed No | 38c | 1,300$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.73 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06aa…fbf3backed Yes | 47c | 1,158$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.81 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +237.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 48c | 1,087$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.59 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6d…0bd0backed No | 48c | 1,081$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…f776backed Yes | 62c | 1,057$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5073…16a7backed Yes | 60c | 1,025$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.55 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbec…7869backed Yes | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c02…e572backed No | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2844…4ab9backed Yes | 52c | 986$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f03…f81bbacked Yes | 52c | 962$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…6e01backed Yes | 52c | 962$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4734…0979backed Yes | 49c | 931.99$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.05 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…8803backed Yes | 52c | 915$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8458…f0bebacked Yes | 47c | 844.49$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 43c | 804.48$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.99 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f50…fc3fbacked Yes | 65c | 776.85$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.57 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…5c87backed Yes | 75c | 767.79$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…6643backed Yes | 76c | 762.09$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4692…242cbacked Yes | 57c | 687.44$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.13 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 56c | 645.8$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.4 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 55c | 542$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.44 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 24c | 540.12$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.47 | 48 | 12.5%6 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…579cbacked Yes | 59c | 540$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 51c | 532.93$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.61 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5260…fd71backed Yes | 63c | 521$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.03 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd833…17d9backed Yes | 59c | 521$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64cb…3dd5backed No | 56c | 517.3$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…0458backed Yes | 50c | 511.39$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 37c | 508.49$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.81 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…2debbacked No | 40c | 480.62$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x221c…d3c1backed No | 54c | 475.09$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f96…a226backed No | 40c | 472.57$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 39c | 464.95$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.77 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…93a4backed Yes | 56c | 450.32$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.01 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7da…c2a7backed No | 46c | 450$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…d2ebbacked Yes | 53c | 442.49$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.78 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae2…3862backed Yes | 69c | 421.1$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d4…8264backed Yes | 64c | 387.92$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.38 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 30c | 374.04$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.37 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 56c | 363.15$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.78 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b4…c3f4backed Yes | 53c | 352$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac87…88c7backed Yes | 59c | 339$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb97d…039bbacked Yes | 59c | 338$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ce…f8a1backed Yes | 46c | 331.47$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 27c | 307.87$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.59 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 13c | 307.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b0…aedcbacked No | 46c | 303$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…72e4backed No | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…3a0bbacked Yes | 65c | 289.18$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.98 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…ebe5backed Yes | 56c | 285$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a3…67e3backed Yes | 79c | 283$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.58 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d3…4356backed Yes | 79c | 280$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeba9…1eaebacked Yes | 56c | 266.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.86 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…d4d7backed Yes | 66c | 261.56$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 32c | 259.21$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.9 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dde…b8f1backed No | 56c | 258$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…735abacked No | 49c | 254.62$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.76 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 46c | 247.87$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.68 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 35c | 228.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.97 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf667…39c6backed No | 44c | 227.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a17…2560backed Yes | 45c | 224.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.36 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 55c | 211.38$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.36 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x206a…94ddbacked No | 54c | 209.33$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 58c | 206.09$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 56c | 200$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6802…81d6backed No | 57c | 200$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.45 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5726…10f5backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +412.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb5…8685backed No | 32c | 199.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 64c | 198.61$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 51c | 198.22$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.33 | 70 | 17.1%12 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df8…9c9dbacked Yes | 43c | 195$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9066…4fdebacked Yes | 43c | 195$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e28…072bbacked Yes | 43c | 195$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c1…f71fbacked Yes | 43c | 195$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…df8abacked Yes | 42c | 195$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +136.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the March meeting?this page
- Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the March meeting?No won
- Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the March meeting?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.