World Politics · resolved market
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the March meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a29417dd569806a261b11731a6a97e25e1290fc569a913d5177a3a5ebac6454
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $178,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $176,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 42c | 13,320$5,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,625.29 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…c083backed Yes | 38c | 7,579$2,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,917.15 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…8e43backed Yes | 1c | 6,690$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed Yes | 37c | 3,765$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.14 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 3c | 3,666$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.98 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0dee…f426backed Yes | 1c | 2,838$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…c1c4backed Yes | 35c | 2,737$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.81 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 40c | 2,690$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.86 | 192 | 37.5%72 W · 120 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0814…b977backed Yes | 45c | 2,431$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d8…99f0backed Yes | 47c | 2,110$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 35c | 2,094$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.24 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…dac8backed Yes | 44c | 2,037$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.42 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x264d…6f2bbacked Yes | 40c | 1,861$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4518…1cacbacked Yes | 54c | 1,811$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.94 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb12f…0690backed Yes | 60c | 1,805$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 39c | 1,787$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.1 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 41c | 1,775$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.1 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 40c | 1,467$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.2 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked Yes | 32c | 1,431$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a9…3dafbacked Yes | 48c | 1,363$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68f…41acbacked Yes | 48c | 1,361$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…8b75backed Yes | 48c | 1,355$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd02…60e0backed No | 57c | 1,352$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.79 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…f1d3backed Yes | 48c | 1,352$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc168…3eddbacked Yes | 48c | 1,350$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38eb…0469backed Yes | 48c | 1,348$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc81…ec2abacked Yes | 48c | 1,344$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…defebacked Yes | 48c | 1,343$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26a8…6adbbacked Yes | 48c | 1,342$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4692…3214backed Yes | 48c | 1,340$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc0…7699backed Yes | 48c | 1,331$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaec…2694backed Yes | 1c | 1,324$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b8…93c1backed Yes | 33c | 1,265$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c7…51a9backed No | 52c | 1,260$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…6c4cbacked No | 52c | 1,256$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba7…fa6abacked No | 52c | 1,256$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa8…7574backed No | 52c | 1,242$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab50…b44bbacked No | 52c | 1,241$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…2ffcbacked No | 52c | 1,241$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1424…b7c1backed No | 52c | 1,238$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b2…9227backed No | 52c | 1,235$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8d…d593backed No | 52c | 1,233$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39e6…ac5fbacked No | 52c | 1,229$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…f456backed No | 52c | 1,229$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x530a…d520backed No | 52c | 1,159$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…8c1bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb71f…289abacked Yes | 1c | 1,079$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 57c | 1,071$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.48 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f71…9c46backed Yes | 39c | 1,000$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.47 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 29cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19e1…976dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 1cpaid | +1,011.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…8dc0backed Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76d7…b775backed No | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec88…09cebacked No | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d41…7675backed Yes | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a5…d228backed Yes | 11c | 900$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 11cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 18c | 842$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.83 | 150 | 14%21 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed Yes | 31c | 803$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.11 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93c4…dca6backed Yes | 57c | 800.84$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.78 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…5c87backed Yes | 24c | 767.79$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 63c | 755.42$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.22 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…a698backed Yes | 58c | 751.63$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.96 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 58cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 75c | 702.84$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.68 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 72c | 686.46$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.13 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 42c | 676.18$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.61 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf401…f40dbacked Yes | 60c | 665.42$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f50…fc3fbacked Yes | 34c | 651.27$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.81 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 50c | 648.02$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.08 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 35c | 600$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 65c | 563.21$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.86 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…31c1backed Yes | 25c | 553.84$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 44c | 542$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.89 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Yes | 48c | 504.65$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…2debbacked Yes | 41c | 470.14$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a17…2560backed No | 22c | 453.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.73 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 32c | 429.08$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.4 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -8.5wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…93a4backed Yes | 31c | 412.28$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.36 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da3…67fabacked Yes | 26c | 410$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b2…621cbacked Yes | 33c | 406.63$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…b3cabacked Yes | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ed…aebcbacked Yes | 38c | 396.63$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…d4d7backed Yes | 45c | 384.21$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 47c | 383.33$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.74 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b4…c3f4backed Yes | 47c | 352$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8458…f0bebacked No | 51c | 344.09$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x751c…39f9backed Yes | 42c | 341.69$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 22c | 335.66$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.78 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…385dbacked Yes | 26c | 315.79$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.51 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 15c | 306.33$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.38 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +6.5wins | +0.26per pick | 22cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…72e4backed Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95d2…6027backed Yes | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5e…332ebacked No | 60c | 288.88$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.93 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9367…78e1backed Yes | 46c | 281.06$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a16…518bbacked Yes | 36c | 259.77$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.74 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 37c | 259.41$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.11 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbae5…45e3backed Yes | 36c | 258.44$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 46c | 258.28$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.84 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0973…40c4backed Yes | 42c | 242.07$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…579cbacked No | 62c | 241$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…3a0bbacked Yes | 43c | 234.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4402…d22abacked Yes | 43c | 233.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the March meeting?this page
- Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the March meeting?Yes won
- Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the March meeting?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.